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icon for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner

Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner

icon for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner

Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner

Polymarket

$5,932 Vol.

Polymarket

$5,932 Vol.

icon for Marty Quinn

Marty Quinn

$751 Vol.

No

icon for Bob Sullivan

Bob Sullivan

$5,181 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary runoff will take place on August 25, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Sullivan secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance after defeating Marty Quinn in the August 25 runoff, following his first-place finish in the June primary with 37.4% of the vote. As a property and casualty insurance agent with two decades of experience, Sullivan advanced by emphasizing regulatory accountability, use of new rate-review authority under recent legislation, and challenges to high premiums that rank among the nation’s highest. Quinn, a former state senator and insurance committee chair with over 40 years in the industry, focused on recruiting carriers and tort reform but trailed throughout. The market’s 98.6% price on Sullivan reflects the runoff outcome and limited remaining uncertainty ahead of official certification, though late procedural issues or vote-count disputes could still alter resolution timing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary runoff will take place on August 25, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,932
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary runoff will take place on August 25, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary runoff will take place on August 25, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Sullivan secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance after defeating Marty Quinn in the August 25 runoff, following his first-place finish in the June primary with 37.4% of the vote. As a property and casualty insurance agent with two decades of experience, Sullivan advanced by emphasizing regulatory accountability, use of new rate-review authority under recent legislation, and challenges to high premiums that rank among the nation’s highest. Quinn, a former state senator and insurance committee chair with over 40 years in the industry, focused on recruiting carriers and tort reform but trailed throughout. The market’s 98.6% price on Sullivan reflects the runoff outcome and limited remaining uncertainty ahead of official certification, though late procedural issues or vote-count disputes could still alter resolution timing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary runoff will take place on August 25, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,932
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary runoff will take place on August 25, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bob Sullivan" at 100%, followed by "Marty Quinn" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner" is "Bob Sullivan" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marty Quinn" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.