The Nuevo León gubernatorial race for 2027 remains tightly contested more than a year out, with trader pricing reflecting divided party identification and frontrunner uncertainty across Movimiento Ciudadano, Morena, and a potential PRI-PAN alliance. Recent July 2026 polls show Movimiento Ciudadano and Morena essentially tied in voter intent, while Adrián de la Garza Santos leads internal PRI preferences and maintains strong head-to-head positioning; Mariana Rodríguez Cantú tops MC name recognition and hypothetical matchups. Morena's multi-candidate field, including Tatiana Clouthier, Waldo Fernández González, Andrés Mijes Llovera, and Jesús Alberto Elizondo, adds volatility ahead of its internal selection. Key upcoming catalysts include alliance finalization, candidate nominations, and further polling that could shift implied probabilities as the field narrows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAdrián de la Garza Santos 36%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 32.5%
Waldo Fernández González 5.5%
Daniel Carrillo Martínez 5.5%
$25,843 Vol.
$25,843 Vol.
Adrián de la Garza Santos
36%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
32%
Waldo Fernández González
6%
Daniel Carrillo Martínez
5%
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo
5%
Raúl Lozano Caballero
5%
Clara Luz Flores Carrales
5%
Félix Arratia Cruz
4%
Annia Gómez Cárdenas
2%
Héctor García García
2%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
1%
Andrés Mijes Llovera
1%
Jesús Alberto Elizondo
11%
Carlos de la Fuente Flores
1%
Fernando Margáin Berlanga
1%
Arturo Salinas Garza
1%
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla
<1%
Judith Díaz Delgado
<1%
Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez
<1%
Martha Herrera González
<1%
Miguel Flores Serna
<1%
Adrián de la Garza Santos 36%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 32.5%
Waldo Fernández González 5.5%
Daniel Carrillo Martínez 5.5%
$25,843 Vol.
$25,843 Vol.
Adrián de la Garza Santos
36%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
32%
Waldo Fernández González
6%
Daniel Carrillo Martínez
5%
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo
5%
Raúl Lozano Caballero
5%
Clara Luz Flores Carrales
5%
Félix Arratia Cruz
4%
Annia Gómez Cárdenas
2%
Héctor García García
2%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
1%
Andrés Mijes Llovera
1%
Jesús Alberto Elizondo
11%
Carlos de la Fuente Flores
1%
Fernando Margáin Berlanga
1%
Arturo Salinas Garza
1%
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla
<1%
Judith Díaz Delgado
<1%
Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez
<1%
Martha Herrera González
<1%
Miguel Flores Serna
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Nuevo León gubernatorial race for 2027 remains tightly contested more than a year out, with trader pricing reflecting divided party identification and frontrunner uncertainty across Movimiento Ciudadano, Morena, and a potential PRI-PAN alliance. Recent July 2026 polls show Movimiento Ciudadano and Morena essentially tied in voter intent, while Adrián de la Garza Santos leads internal PRI preferences and maintains strong head-to-head positioning; Mariana Rodríguez Cantú tops MC name recognition and hypothetical matchups. Morena's multi-candidate field, including Tatiana Clouthier, Waldo Fernández González, Andrés Mijes Llovera, and Jesús Alberto Elizondo, adds volatility ahead of its internal selection. Key upcoming catalysts include alliance finalization, candidate nominations, and further polling that could shift implied probabilities as the field narrows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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