Frank Pallone Jr. (D), the longtime incumbent first elected in 1993, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Hillary Herzig in the November general election for New Jersey’s 6th congressional district. The seat’s D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Pallone’s 56 percent share in the 2024 cycle reflect a consistent Democratic advantage driven by voter registration patterns and past turnout. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent because the district’s partisan composition and incumbent experience create high structural barriers to a Republican victory. A significant national swing, unexpected primary-level controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet no recent developments in polling, fundraising, or candidate positioning indicate movement away from the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNJ-06 House Election Winner
NJ-06 House Election Winner
$28,667 Vol.
$28,667 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$28,667 Vol.
$28,667 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,124 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$19,543 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frank Pallone Jr. (D), the longtime incumbent first elected in 1993, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Hillary Herzig in the November general election for New Jersey’s 6th congressional district. The seat’s D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Pallone’s 56 percent share in the 2024 cycle reflect a consistent Democratic advantage driven by voter registration patterns and past turnout. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent because the district’s partisan composition and incumbent experience create high structural barriers to a Republican victory. A significant national swing, unexpected primary-level controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet no recent developments in polling, fundraising, or candidate positioning indicate movement away from the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$28,667End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frank Pallone Jr. (D), the longtime incumbent first elected in 1993, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Hillary Herzig in the November general election for New Jersey’s 6th congressional district. The seat’s D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Pallone’s 56 percent share in the 2024 cycle reflect a consistent Democratic advantage driven by voter registration patterns and past turnout. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent because the district’s partisan composition and incumbent experience create high structural barriers to a Republican victory. A significant national swing, unexpected primary-level controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet no recent developments in polling, fundraising, or candidate positioning indicate movement away from the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,667End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Frank Pallone Jr. (D), the longtime incumbent first elected in 1993, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Hillary Herzig in the November general election for New Jersey’s 6th congressional district. The seat’s D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Pallone’s 56 percent share in the 2024 cycle reflect a consistent Democratic advantage driven by voter registration patterns and past turnout. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent because the district’s partisan composition and incumbent experience create high structural barriers to a Republican victory. A significant national swing, unexpected primary-level controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet no recent developments in polling, fundraising, or candidate positioning indicate movement away from the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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