**Mohammed Umaru Bago holds the leading position in the Niger State gubernatorial market as the incumbent APC governor affirmed unopposed as the party's 2027 candidate in May 2026 across all 277 wards.** This followed broad stakeholder consensus and his retention of deputy Yakubu Garba on a Muslim-Muslim ticket. Traders price his strong re-election prospects at around 80%, reflecting APC's statewide dominance, including sweeps in prior local council polls, plus Bago's emphasis on agricultural transformation, infrastructure, and inclusive governance. Opposition figures such as ADC nominee Mohammed Kpautagi and Abubakar Suleiman remain at low single-digit implied probabilities due to structural party disadvantages and limited recent momentum. The February 6, 2027, election timeline and absence of major disruptions since the primaries reinforce current positioning, though late developments could still alter dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNiger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Mohammed Umaru Bago 81%
Abubakar Suleiman 1.1%
Mohammed Kpautagi 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Mohammed Umaru Bago
81%
Abubakar Suleiman
1%
Mohammed Kpautagi
1%
Mohammed Umaru Bago 81%
Abubakar Suleiman 1.1%
Mohammed Kpautagi 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Mohammed Umaru Bago
$1,847 Vol.
81%
Abubakar Suleiman
$141 Vol.
1%
Mohammed Kpautagi
$73 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Mohammed Umaru Bago holds the leading position in the Niger State gubernatorial market as the incumbent APC governor affirmed unopposed as the party's 2027 candidate in May 2026 across all 277 wards.** This followed broad stakeholder consensus and his retention of deputy Yakubu Garba on a Muslim-Muslim ticket. Traders price his strong re-election prospects at around 80%, reflecting APC's statewide dominance, including sweeps in prior local council polls, plus Bago's emphasis on agricultural transformation, infrastructure, and inclusive governance. Opposition figures such as ADC nominee Mohammed Kpautagi and Abubakar Suleiman remain at low single-digit implied probabilities due to structural party disadvantages and limited recent momentum. The February 6, 2027, election timeline and absence of major disruptions since the primaries reinforce current positioning, though late developments could still alter dynamics.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,061End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Mohammed Umaru Bago holds the leading position in the Niger State gubernatorial market as the incumbent APC governor affirmed unopposed as the party's 2027 candidate in May 2026 across all 277 wards.** This followed broad stakeholder consensus and his retention of deputy Yakubu Garba on a Muslim-Muslim ticket. Traders price his strong re-election prospects at around 80%, reflecting APC's statewide dominance, including sweeps in prior local council polls, plus Bago's emphasis on agricultural transformation, infrastructure, and inclusive governance. Opposition figures such as ADC nominee Mohammed Kpautagi and Abubakar Suleiman remain at low single-digit implied probabilities due to structural party disadvantages and limited recent momentum. The February 6, 2027, election timeline and absence of major disruptions since the primaries reinforce current positioning, though late developments could still alter dynamics.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$2,061End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mohammed Umaru Bago holds the leading position in the Niger State gubernatorial market as the incumbent APC governor affirmed unopposed as the party's 2027 candidate in May 2026 across all 277 wards.** This followed broad stakeholder consensus and his retention of deputy Yakubu Garba on a Muslim-Muslim ticket. Traders price his strong re-election prospects at around 80%, reflecting APC's statewide dominance, including sweeps in prior local council polls, plus Bago's emphasis on agricultural transformation, infrastructure, and inclusive governance. Opposition figures such as ADC nominee Mohammed Kpautagi and Abubakar Suleiman remain at low single-digit implied probabilities due to structural party disadvantages and limited recent momentum. The February 6, 2027, election timeline and absence of major disruptions since the primaries reinforce current positioning, though late developments could still alter dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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