Recent polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election show National and Labour locked in a tight race for first and second place, each near 29–34 percent, leaving smaller parties to contest third. New Zealand First has held polling support in the 8–13 percent range across multiple August surveys, ahead of or level with the Greens on 8–12 percent, while ACT sits lower and the Opportunity Party’s rise has not yet displaced either. Recent results, including RNZ–Reid Research and 1News–Verian, highlight volatility among minor parties but keep New Zealand First positioned to finish ahead of the Greens on current trends. Trader pricing reflects this narrow but consistent edge for New Zealand First in the fight for third place.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 62%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 2.6%
National Party 2.2%
$13,690 Vol.
$13,690 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
62%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
3%
National Party
2%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 62%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 2.6%
National Party 2.2%
$13,690 Vol.
$13,690 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
$5,130 Vol.
62%
Green Party
$5,596 Vol.
37%
ACT New Zealand
$709 Vol.
3%
National Party
$415 Vol.
2%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election show National and Labour locked in a tight race for first and second place, each near 29–34 percent, leaving smaller parties to contest third. New Zealand First has held polling support in the 8–13 percent range across multiple August surveys, ahead of or level with the Greens on 8–12 percent, while ACT sits lower and the Opportunity Party’s rise has not yet displaced either. Recent results, including RNZ–Reid Research and 1News–Verian, highlight volatility among minor parties but keep New Zealand First positioned to finish ahead of the Greens on current trends. Trader pricing reflects this narrow but consistent edge for New Zealand First in the fight for third place.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$13,690End Date
Nov 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election show National and Labour locked in a tight race for first and second place, each near 29–34 percent, leaving smaller parties to contest third. New Zealand First has held polling support in the 8–13 percent range across multiple August surveys, ahead of or level with the Greens on 8–12 percent, while ACT sits lower and the Opportunity Party’s rise has not yet displaced either. Recent results, including RNZ–Reid Research and 1News–Verian, highlight volatility among minor parties but keep New Zealand First positioned to finish ahead of the Greens on current trends. Trader pricing reflects this narrow but consistent edge for New Zealand First in the fight for third place.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$13,690End Date
Nov 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election show National and Labour locked in a tight race for first and second place, each near 29–34 percent, leaving smaller parties to contest third. New Zealand First has held polling support in the 8–13 percent range across multiple August surveys, ahead of or level with the Greens on 8–12 percent, while ACT sits lower and the Opportunity Party’s rise has not yet displaced either. Recent results, including RNZ–Reid Research and 1News–Verian, highlight volatility among minor parties but keep New Zealand First positioned to finish ahead of the Greens on current trends. Trader pricing reflects this narrow but consistent edge for New Zealand First in the fight for third place.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
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