Netanyahu has confirmed his intention to lead Likud into the October 27, 2026, Knesset election and continues active campaigning, including recent appeals urging right-wing voters to avoid splitting votes on smaller parties that risk falling below the electoral threshold. Recent polls show Likud trailing or tied with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party while Netanyahu’s coalition bloc projects short of a majority, yet no public statements, health developments, or legal pressures have signaled withdrawal. Party primaries and candidate list preparations remain underway with no reported internal challenges forcing reconsideration. Traders price the chance of an announcement by September 30 at low single digits, reflecting the absence of catalysts for exit this close to the vote.