Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oregon, Indiana, Georgia, and Miami lead Polymarket probabilities for reaching the 2026 College Football Playoff quarterfinals, reflecting broad expert consensus on their rosters, quarterback stability, and conference positioning ahead of Week 0. Preseason projections emphasize the Big Ten’s depth alongside SEC and ACC contenders, with teams like Notre Dame and Ohio State frequently projected as top seeds or strong first-round hosts. Transfer portal additions, returning production, and coaching continuity shape early sentiment, while schedule strength, early-season results, and injury developments will drive rapid adjustments once conference play begins. Upset potential remains for mid-tier programs with favorable paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNotre Dame
65%
Ohio St.
61%
Indiana
61%
Oregon
61%
Georgia
55%
Miami (FL)
54%
Texas
52%
USC
49%
Texas Tech
32%
Alabama
30%
Ole Miss
28%
Florida
27%
TCU
27%
Texas A&M
27%
Arkansas
26%
SMU
26%
BYU
25%
North Carolina St.
25%
Tennessee
25%
Virginia
25%
LSU
24%
Oklahoma
23%
Penn St.
21%
Louisville
16%
Michigan
16%
Auburn
8%
Missouri
8%
Iowa
7%
South Carolina
7%
Arizona
26%
Houston
6%
Tulane
6%
Utah
6%
Washington
6%
Illinois
5%
Miami (OH)
5%
North Texas
5%
Vanderbilt
5%
Florida St.
4%
Georgia Tech
4%
James Madison
4%
Kansas St.
4%
Virginia Tech
4%
Arizona St.
3%
Baylor
3%
California
3%
Oklahoma St.
3%
Pittsburgh
3%
Kentucky
3%
Clemson
52%
$880 Vol.
Notre Dame
65%
Ohio St.
61%
Indiana
61%
Oregon
61%
Georgia
55%
Miami (FL)
54%
Texas
52%
USC
49%
Texas Tech
32%
Alabama
30%
Ole Miss
28%
Florida
27%
TCU
27%
Texas A&M
27%
Arkansas
26%
SMU
26%
BYU
25%
North Carolina St.
25%
Tennessee
25%
Virginia
25%
LSU
24%
Oklahoma
23%
Penn St.
21%
Louisville
16%
Michigan
16%
Auburn
8%
Missouri
8%
Iowa
7%
South Carolina
7%
Arizona
26%
Houston
6%
Tulane
6%
Utah
6%
Washington
6%
Illinois
5%
Miami (OH)
5%
North Texas
5%
Vanderbilt
5%
Florida St.
4%
Georgia Tech
4%
James Madison
4%
Kansas St.
4%
Virginia Tech
4%
Arizona St.
3%
Baylor
3%
California
3%
Oklahoma St.
3%
Pittsburgh
3%
Kentucky
3%
Clemson
52%
The "quarterfinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which eight teams remain (the four first-round winners plus the four teams seeded 1–4 that received first-round byes). A team counts as reaching the quarterfinals if it is scheduled to play in a quarterfinal game, whether by receiving a top-4 seed and a first-round bye or by winning its first-round game.
If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the quarterfinal round is not played by January 13, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The "quarterfinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which eight teams remain (the four first-round winners plus the four teams seeded 1–4 that received first-round byes). A team counts as reaching the quarterfinals if it is scheduled to play in a quarterfinal game, whether by receiving a top-4 seed and a first-round bye or by winning its first-round game.
If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the quarterfinal round is not played by January 13, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oregon, Indiana, Georgia, and Miami lead Polymarket probabilities for reaching the 2026 College Football Playoff quarterfinals, reflecting broad expert consensus on their rosters, quarterback stability, and conference positioning ahead of Week 0. Preseason projections emphasize the Big Ten’s depth alongside SEC and ACC contenders, with teams like Notre Dame and Ohio State frequently projected as top seeds or strong first-round hosts. Transfer portal additions, returning production, and coaching continuity shape early sentiment, while schedule strength, early-season results, and injury developments will drive rapid adjustments once conference play begins. Upset potential remains for mid-tier programs with favorable paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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