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icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

CJ Carr 10%

Arch Manning 9%

Julian Sayin 8%

Dante Moore 8%

Polymarket
NEW

CJ Carr 10%

Arch Manning 9%

Julian Sayin 8%

Dante Moore 8%

Polymarket
NEW

CJ Carr

$0 Vol.

10%

Arch Manning

$71 Vol.

9%

Julian Sayin

$552 Vol.

8%

Dante Moore

$33 Vol.

8%

Trinidad Chambliss

$0 Vol.

7%

Darian Mensah

$53 Vol.

7%

Jeremiah Smith

$0 Vol.

6%

Josh Hoover

$0 Vol.

4%

Marcel Reed

$0 Vol.

3%

Gunner Stockton

$0 Vol.

3%

Sam Leavitt

$0 Vol.

3%

Brendan Sorsby

$0 Vol.

3%

Malachi Toney

$0 Vol.

3%

LaNorris Sellers

$0 Vol.

3%

John Mateer

$0 Vol.

3%

Jayden Maiava

$0 Vol.

3%

Keelon Russell

$0 Vol.

3%

Demond Williams Jr.

$0 Vol.

3%

Rocco Becht

$0 Vol.

3%

Will Hammond

$0 Vol.

3%

Austin Mack

$0 Vol.

3%

Byrum Brown

$0 Vol.

3%

Bryce Underwood

$0 Vol.

3%

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele

$0 Vol.

3%

Bo Jackson

$20 Vol.

1%

Drew Mestemaker

$20 Vol.

1%

Kevin Jennings

$20 Vol.

1%

Ahmad Hardy

$20 Vol.

1%

Kewan Lacy

$20 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The bunched low single-digit implied probabilities across a deep field of quarterbacks entering the 2026 season underscore how early evaluations rest on 2025 production, roster stability, and program expectations rather than on-field results. Notre Dame's CJ Carr leads at 9.5% on the strength of his first year as starter and the Irish's projected national title contention, while Texas QB Arch Manning sits close behind amid ongoing public interest despite a mixed prior campaign. Similar positioning for Ohio State's Julian Sayin, Oregon's Dante Moore, Miami's Darian Mensah, and Ole Miss' Trinidad Chambliss stems from favorable schedules and dual-threat or high-volume passing profiles, with non-QB Jeremiah Smith the top receiver option. Fall camp updates and Week 0/1 performances will quickly reshape consensus as voters prioritize efficiency, wins, and signature moments in a quarterback-dominated award.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.

If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$810
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The bunched low single-digit implied probabilities across a deep field of quarterbacks entering the 2026 season underscore how early evaluations rest on 2025 production, roster stability, and program expectations rather than on-field results. Notre Dame's CJ Carr leads at 9.5% on the strength of his first year as starter and the Irish's projected national title contention, while Texas QB Arch Manning sits close behind amid ongoing public interest despite a mixed prior campaign. Similar positioning for Ohio State's Julian Sayin, Oregon's Dante Moore, Miami's Darian Mensah, and Ole Miss' Trinidad Chambliss stems from favorable schedules and dual-threat or high-volume passing profiles, with non-QB Jeremiah Smith the top receiver option. Fall camp updates and Week 0/1 performances will quickly reshape consensus as voters prioritize efficiency, wins, and signature moments in a quarterback-dominated award.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.

If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$810
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "CJ Carr" at 10%, followed by "Arch Manning" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is "CJ Carr" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arch Manning" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.