The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections remains closely balanced among the three governing coalition parties—RNI, PI, and PAM—reflecting fluid relative standings after the 2021 results that delivered them 102, 81, and 87 seats respectively. Recent candidate list finalizations, PAM’s recruitment of high-profile figures such as Fouzi Lekjaa, RNI’s organizational investments, and ongoing coalition tensions over living costs and policy delivery have prevented any durable separation. Proportional representation across local and regional tiers, combined with expected low turnout and a large undecided voter share, further diffuses support and keeps implied probabilities for third place tightly contested around the mid-30% range for the top two contenders while smaller parties stay marginal. Upcoming final registration deadlines and campaign start on September 10 could still shift momentum through localized mobilization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRNI 30%
PI 30%
PAM 10%
PJD 4.3%
$27,892 Vol.
$27,892 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
RNI
39%
PI
30%
PAM
8%
PJD
4%
UC
1%
MP
<1%
PPS
<1%
USFP
<1%
RNI 30%
PI 30%
PAM 10%
PJD 4.3%
$27,892 Vol.
$27,892 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
RNI
$13,384 Vol.
39%
PI
$11,292 Vol.
30%
PAM
$998 Vol.
8%
PJD
$349 Vol.
4%
UC
$357 Vol.
1%
MP
$442 Vol.
<1%
PPS
$331 Vol.
<1%
USFP
$739 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections remains closely balanced among the three governing coalition parties—RNI, PI, and PAM—reflecting fluid relative standings after the 2021 results that delivered them 102, 81, and 87 seats respectively. Recent candidate list finalizations, PAM’s recruitment of high-profile figures such as Fouzi Lekjaa, RNI’s organizational investments, and ongoing coalition tensions over living costs and policy delivery have prevented any durable separation. Proportional representation across local and regional tiers, combined with expected low turnout and a large undecided voter share, further diffuses support and keeps implied probabilities for third place tightly contested around the mid-30% range for the top two contenders while smaller parties stay marginal. Upcoming final registration deadlines and campaign start on September 10 could still shift momentum through localized mobilization.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$27,892End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections remains closely balanced among the three governing coalition parties—RNI, PI, and PAM—reflecting fluid relative standings after the 2021 results that delivered them 102, 81, and 87 seats respectively. Recent candidate list finalizations, PAM’s recruitment of high-profile figures such as Fouzi Lekjaa, RNI’s organizational investments, and ongoing coalition tensions over living costs and policy delivery have prevented any durable separation. Proportional representation across local and regional tiers, combined with expected low turnout and a large undecided voter share, further diffuses support and keeps implied probabilities for third place tightly contested around the mid-30% range for the top two contenders while smaller parties stay marginal. Upcoming final registration deadlines and campaign start on September 10 could still shift momentum through localized mobilization.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$27,892End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections remains closely balanced among the three governing coalition parties—RNI, PI, and PAM—reflecting fluid relative standings after the 2021 results that delivered them 102, 81, and 87 seats respectively. Recent candidate list finalizations, PAM’s recruitment of high-profile figures such as Fouzi Lekjaa, RNI’s organizational investments, and ongoing coalition tensions over living costs and policy delivery have prevented any durable separation. Proportional representation across local and regional tiers, combined with expected low turnout and a large undecided voter share, further diffuses support and keeps implied probabilities for third place tightly contested around the mid-30% range for the top two contenders while smaller parties stay marginal. Upcoming final registration deadlines and campaign start on September 10 could still shift momentum through localized mobilization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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