Meta’s stock has consolidated near $550 following its late-July Q2 earnings, where 28% revenue growth to $60.8 billion and AI-driven ad improvements (higher clicks and conversions) were overshadowed by a 91% free-cash-flow drop tied to $31 billion in quarterly capex and legal charges. Traders are weighing sustained advertising momentum and new AI monetization opportunities against elevated 2026 spending guidance of $130–145 billion and ongoing youth-safety litigation risks. The balanced probabilities clustered between $540 and $580 capture this uncertainty over near-term catalysts, including any updates on AI infrastructure returns or trial developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$560-$570 22%
$570-$580 18%
$550-$560 17%
$540-$550 16%
<$510
12%
$510-$520
7%
$520-$530
7%
$530-$540
10%
$540-$550
16%
$550-$560
17%
$560-$570
22%
$570-$580
18%
$580-$590
9%
$590-$600
12%
>$600
11%
$560-$570 22%
$570-$580 18%
$550-$560 17%
$540-$550 16%
<$510
12%
$510-$520
7%
$520-$530
7%
$530-$540
10%
$540-$550
16%
$550-$560
17%
$560-$570
22%
$570-$580
18%
$580-$590
9%
$590-$600
12%
>$600
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meta’s stock has consolidated near $550 following its late-July Q2 earnings, where 28% revenue growth to $60.8 billion and AI-driven ad improvements (higher clicks and conversions) were overshadowed by a 91% free-cash-flow drop tied to $31 billion in quarterly capex and legal charges. Traders are weighing sustained advertising momentum and new AI monetization opportunities against elevated 2026 spending guidance of $130–145 billion and ongoing youth-safety litigation risks. The balanced probabilities clustered between $540 and $580 capture this uncertainty over near-term catalysts, including any updates on AI infrastructure returns or trial developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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