Accelerating outbreaks, fueled by low MMR vaccination coverage in clustered communities and multiple importations, are driving the sharp rise in U.S. measles cases. As of August 20, 2026, the CDC reports 2,777 confirmed cases—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289—with 94% outbreak-associated across 36 new clusters and the majority involving unvaccinated children and adolescents. Transmission remains highly efficient via airborne routes in under-immunized populations, consistent with historical patterns before widespread MMR use. Weekly CDC surveillance updates, school-year mixing, and any shifts in state-level vaccination enforcement represent key upcoming data points that could alter the trajectory through year-end. Trader sentiment reflects this sustained momentum amid ongoing epidemiological surveillance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7,855,479 Vol.
$7,855,479 Vol.
↑4.5k
66%
↑3k
99%
↑3.5k
95%
↑4k
85%
↑5k
50%
↑7.5k
14%
↑10k
7%
↑12.5k
7%
$7,855,479 Vol.
$7,855,479 Vol.
↑4.5k
66%
↑3k
99%
↑3.5k
95%
↑4k
85%
↑5k
50%
↑7.5k
14%
↑10k
7%
↑12.5k
7%
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Market Opened: Feb 16, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Accelerating outbreaks, fueled by low MMR vaccination coverage in clustered communities and multiple importations, are driving the sharp rise in U.S. measles cases. As of August 20, 2026, the CDC reports 2,777 confirmed cases—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289—with 94% outbreak-associated across 36 new clusters and the majority involving unvaccinated children and adolescents. Transmission remains highly efficient via airborne routes in under-immunized populations, consistent with historical patterns before widespread MMR use. Weekly CDC surveillance updates, school-year mixing, and any shifts in state-level vaccination enforcement represent key upcoming data points that could alter the trajectory through year-end. Trader sentiment reflects this sustained momentum amid ongoing epidemiological surveillance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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