**Recent developments in the New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak show contained U.S. spread since the first confirmed case on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, Texas.** USDA-APHIS reports roughly 45 animal detections (primarily cattle, with some sheep, goats, and dogs) across Texas counties and one in New Mexico as of mid-August 2026, with no locally acquired human cases. Mexico reports ongoing detections near the border (e.g., 183 in Chihuahua), prompting intensified sterile fly releases using the sterile insect technique (SIT) and joint U.S.-Mexico import protocols. The August 24, 2026, phased reopening of ports like Douglas, AZ, reflects progress under science-based safeguards and surveillance. An HHS emergency determination from August 2025 enabled FDA EUAs for treatments, while Texas issued a state disaster proclamation. Trader sentiment likely weighs these active containment measures, low human risk per CDC, and historical eradication success against any surge in cases or model projections that could prompt broader federal action. Key upcoming inputs include daily USDA dashboards, trap data, and port monitoring updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
August 30
45%
October 31
44%
December 31
44%
$1,442 Vol.
August 30
$61 Vol.
45%
October 31
$0 Vol.
44%
December 31
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent developments in the New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak show contained U.S. spread since the first confirmed case on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, Texas.** USDA-APHIS reports roughly 45 animal detections (primarily cattle, with some sheep, goats, and dogs) across Texas counties and one in New Mexico as of mid-August 2026, with no locally acquired human cases. Mexico reports ongoing detections near the border (e.g., 183 in Chihuahua), prompting intensified sterile fly releases using the sterile insect technique (SIT) and joint U.S.-Mexico import protocols. The August 24, 2026, phased reopening of ports like Douglas, AZ, reflects progress under science-based safeguards and surveillance. An HHS emergency determination from August 2025 enabled FDA EUAs for treatments, while Texas issued a state disaster proclamation. Trader sentiment likely weighs these active containment measures, low human risk per CDC, and historical eradication success against any surge in cases or model projections that could prompt broader federal action. Key upcoming inputs include daily USDA dashboards, trap data, and port monitoring updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$1,442End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent developments in the New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak show contained U.S. spread since the first confirmed case on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, Texas.** USDA-APHIS reports roughly 45 animal detections (primarily cattle, with some sheep, goats, and dogs) across Texas counties and one in New Mexico as of mid-August 2026, with no locally acquired human cases. Mexico reports ongoing detections near the border (e.g., 183 in Chihuahua), prompting intensified sterile fly releases using the sterile insect technique (SIT) and joint U.S.-Mexico import protocols. The August 24, 2026, phased reopening of ports like Douglas, AZ, reflects progress under science-based safeguards and surveillance. An HHS emergency determination from August 2025 enabled FDA EUAs for treatments, while Texas issued a state disaster proclamation. Trader sentiment likely weighs these active containment measures, low human risk per CDC, and historical eradication success against any surge in cases or model projections that could prompt broader federal action. Key upcoming inputs include daily USDA dashboards, trap data, and port monitoring updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,442End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent developments in the New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak show contained U.S. spread since the first confirmed case on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, Texas.** USDA-APHIS reports roughly 45 animal detections (primarily cattle, with some sheep, goats, and dogs) across Texas counties and one in New Mexico as of mid-August 2026, with no locally acquired human cases. Mexico reports ongoing detections near the border (e.g., 183 in Chihuahua), prompting intensified sterile fly releases using the sterile insect technique (SIT) and joint U.S.-Mexico import protocols. The August 24, 2026, phased reopening of ports like Douglas, AZ, reflects progress under science-based safeguards and surveillance. An HHS emergency determination from August 2025 enabled FDA EUAs for treatments, while Texas issued a state disaster proclamation. Trader sentiment likely weighs these active containment measures, low human risk per CDC, and historical eradication success against any surge in cases or model projections that could prompt broader federal action. Key upcoming inputs include daily USDA dashboards, trap data, and port monitoring updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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