Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest lead in trader pricing for first place in Maranhão’s October 2026 Senate election because recent polls, including an August Ippi survey, place her ahead with roughly 24 percent first-round support and higher potential totals, well clear of the pack. Her pre-candidacy announcement in late July and formal registration have consolidated backing from the MDB apparatus and name recognition from prior terms as governor and senator. Weverton Rocha (PDT), Eliziane Gama (PT), and André Fufuca trail in both surveys and market odds, reflecting a fragmented field of eleven registered candidates and the absence of any late surge that would narrow the gap before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRoseana Sarney 69%
Weverton Rocha 7.8%
Fufuca 5.8%
Wilson Leite 3.0%
$10,008 Vol.
$10,008 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
69%
Weverton Rocha
8%
Fufuca
6%
Wilson Leite
3%
Simplício Araújo
3%
Enilton Rodrigues
2%
Eliziane Gama
2%
Cidônio Gonçalves
2%
Lahesio Bonfim
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
1%
Raimundo Moreira
1%
Roseana Sarney 69%
Weverton Rocha 7.8%
Fufuca 5.8%
Wilson Leite 3.0%
$10,008 Vol.
$10,008 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$5,892 Vol.
69%
Weverton Rocha
$1,990 Vol.
8%
Fufuca
$278 Vol.
6%
Wilson Leite
$250 Vol.
3%
Simplício Araújo
$228 Vol.
3%
Enilton Rodrigues
$148 Vol.
2%
Eliziane Gama
$248 Vol.
2%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$233 Vol.
2%
Lahesio Bonfim
$239 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$253 Vol.
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$249 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest lead in trader pricing for first place in Maranhão’s October 2026 Senate election because recent polls, including an August Ippi survey, place her ahead with roughly 24 percent first-round support and higher potential totals, well clear of the pack. Her pre-candidacy announcement in late July and formal registration have consolidated backing from the MDB apparatus and name recognition from prior terms as governor and senator. Weverton Rocha (PDT), Eliziane Gama (PT), and André Fufuca trail in both surveys and market odds, reflecting a fragmented field of eleven registered candidates and the absence of any late surge that would narrow the gap before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$10,008End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest lead in trader pricing for first place in Maranhão’s October 2026 Senate election because recent polls, including an August Ippi survey, place her ahead with roughly 24 percent first-round support and higher potential totals, well clear of the pack. Her pre-candidacy announcement in late July and formal registration have consolidated backing from the MDB apparatus and name recognition from prior terms as governor and senator. Weverton Rocha (PDT), Eliziane Gama (PT), and André Fufuca trail in both surveys and market odds, reflecting a fragmented field of eleven registered candidates and the absence of any late surge that would narrow the gap before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,008End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest lead in trader pricing for first place in Maranhão’s October 2026 Senate election because recent polls, including an August Ippi survey, place her ahead with roughly 24 percent first-round support and higher potential totals, well clear of the pack. Her pre-candidacy announcement in late July and formal registration have consolidated backing from the MDB apparatus and name recognition from prior terms as governor and senator. Weverton Rocha (PDT), Eliziane Gama (PT), and André Fufuca trail in both surveys and market odds, reflecting a fragmented field of eleven registered candidates and the absence of any late surge that would narrow the gap before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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