**President Lee Jae-myung, who took office in June 2025 following his 2025 election victory, faces no credible near-term removal risk through 2026.** His Democratic Party holds a clear National Assembly majority (161 of 300 seats), far short of the two-thirds threshold required for impeachment, and a June 2026 petition effort stalled despite collecting over 100,000 signatures. Recent local elections delivered his party most gubernatorial and mayoral wins, reinforcing institutional control even as approval ratings slipped to the low 40s amid housing policy debates and security concerns. Lee continues active governance, including semiconductor initiatives, diplomatic outreach to China, and policy proposals on wartime OPCON transfer and constitutional reform—while explicitly ruling out any personal second-term bid. These structural and political factors underpin the strong trader consensus that he will complete the year in office.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
11% chance
$277,868 Vol.
$277,868 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
11% chance
$277,868 Vol.
$277,868 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung, who took office in June 2025 following his 2025 election victory, faces no credible near-term removal risk through 2026.** His Democratic Party holds a clear National Assembly majority (161 of 300 seats), far short of the two-thirds threshold required for impeachment, and a June 2026 petition effort stalled despite collecting over 100,000 signatures. Recent local elections delivered his party most gubernatorial and mayoral wins, reinforcing institutional control even as approval ratings slipped to the low 40s amid housing policy debates and security concerns. Lee continues active governance, including semiconductor initiatives, diplomatic outreach to China, and policy proposals on wartime OPCON transfer and constitutional reform—while explicitly ruling out any personal second-term bid. These structural and political factors underpin the strong trader consensus that he will complete the year in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$277,868End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung, who took office in June 2025 following his 2025 election victory, faces no credible near-term removal risk through 2026.** His Democratic Party holds a clear National Assembly majority (161 of 300 seats), far short of the two-thirds threshold required for impeachment, and a June 2026 petition effort stalled despite collecting over 100,000 signatures. Recent local elections delivered his party most gubernatorial and mayoral wins, reinforcing institutional control even as approval ratings slipped to the low 40s amid housing policy debates and security concerns. Lee continues active governance, including semiconductor initiatives, diplomatic outreach to China, and policy proposals on wartime OPCON transfer and constitutional reform—while explicitly ruling out any personal second-term bid. These structural and political factors underpin the strong trader consensus that he will complete the year in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$277,868End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung, who took office in June 2025 following his 2025 election victory, faces no credible near-term removal risk through 2026.** His Democratic Party holds a clear National Assembly majority (161 of 300 seats), far short of the two-thirds threshold required for impeachment, and a June 2026 petition effort stalled despite collecting over 100,000 signatures. Recent local elections delivered his party most gubernatorial and mayoral wins, reinforcing institutional control even as approval ratings slipped to the low 40s amid housing policy debates and security concerns. Lee continues active governance, including semiconductor initiatives, diplomatic outreach to China, and policy proposals on wartime OPCON transfer and constitutional reform—while explicitly ruling out any personal second-term bid. These structural and political factors underpin the strong trader consensus that he will complete the year in office.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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