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icon for Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

icon for Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

$344,594 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$344,594 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31, 2026

$3,731 Vol.

<1%

September 30, 2026

$6,719 Vol.

2%

December 31, 2026

$12,878 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sébastien Lecornu has held the French premiership since September 2025 under President Macron, surviving multiple no-confidence motions through Socialist Party support in a fragmented National Assembly. His minority government faces its next major test with the 2027 budget process amid the presidential campaign, as Lecornu has warned parliamentarians that delaying approval risks economic disruption, higher borrowing costs, and prolonged use of emergency financing measures. Recent weeks have featured responses to wildfires, including reconstruction aid and permitting reforms, alongside efforts to build cross-party backing while denying specific austerity rumors. The lack of a stable majority and reliance on ad hoc negotiations continue to shape assessments of his tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$344,594
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sébastien Lecornu has held the French premiership since September 2025 under President Macron, surviving multiple no-confidence motions through Socialist Party support in a fragmented National Assembly. His minority government faces its next major test with the 2027 budget process amid the presidential campaign, as Lecornu has warned parliamentarians that delaying approval risks economic disruption, higher borrowing costs, and prolonged use of emergency financing measures. Recent weeks have featured responses to wildfires, including reconstruction aid and permitting reforms, alongside efforts to build cross-party backing while denying specific austerity rumors. The lack of a stable majority and reliance on ad hoc negotiations continue to shape assessments of his tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$344,594
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Lecornu out as French PM by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 28%, followed by "September 30, 2026" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Lecornu out as French PM by...?" has generated $344.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Lecornu out as French PM by...?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lecornu out as French PM by...?" is "December 31, 2026" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30, 2026" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lecornu out as French PM by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.