Obafemi Hamzat holds the leading position in the Lagos 2027 gubernatorial market due to his selection as the All Progressives Congress (APC) consensus candidate. Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu and President Bola Tinubu endorsed him early in 2026, followed by the party's Governance Advisory Council. Hamzat secured the APC nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 657,000 votes against minimal opposition after other aspirants withdrew. His background as deputy governor, former commissioner for works and infrastructure, and involvement in major projects supports trader consensus around continuity within the APC, which has held the governorship since 1999. Recent campaign activity, including policy statements on housing and infrastructure, alongside endorsements from professional groups, has reinforced his position ahead of the election. Lower-priced opposition candidates reflect limited organized challenges at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedObafemi Hamzat 87%
Naheem Balogun 5.8%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick 5.4%
Sowore Robert 4.7%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Obafemi Hamzat
87%
Naheem Balogun
6%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick
5%
Sowore Robert
5%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline
4%
Adedeji Doherty
4%
Funso Doherty
3%
Laja Adeoye
3%
Femi Olaniyi
1%
Oluwadamola Adesoca Sol Nuyi
1%
Obafemi Hamzat 87%
Naheem Balogun 5.8%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick 5.4%
Sowore Robert 4.7%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Obafemi Hamzat
$3,299 Vol.
87%
Naheem Balogun
$225 Vol.
6%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick
$239 Vol.
5%
Sowore Robert
$234 Vol.
5%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline
$225 Vol.
4%
Adedeji Doherty
$225 Vol.
4%
Funso Doherty
$225 Vol.
3%
Laja Adeoye
$225 Vol.
3%
Femi Olaniyi
$245 Vol.
1%
Oluwadamola Adesoca Sol Nuyi
$245 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Obafemi Hamzat holds the leading position in the Lagos 2027 gubernatorial market due to his selection as the All Progressives Congress (APC) consensus candidate. Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu and President Bola Tinubu endorsed him early in 2026, followed by the party's Governance Advisory Council. Hamzat secured the APC nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 657,000 votes against minimal opposition after other aspirants withdrew. His background as deputy governor, former commissioner for works and infrastructure, and involvement in major projects supports trader consensus around continuity within the APC, which has held the governorship since 1999. Recent campaign activity, including policy statements on housing and infrastructure, alongside endorsements from professional groups, has reinforced his position ahead of the election. Lower-priced opposition candidates reflect limited organized challenges at this stage.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$5,387End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Obafemi Hamzat holds the leading position in the Lagos 2027 gubernatorial market due to his selection as the All Progressives Congress (APC) consensus candidate. Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu and President Bola Tinubu endorsed him early in 2026, followed by the party's Governance Advisory Council. Hamzat secured the APC nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 657,000 votes against minimal opposition after other aspirants withdrew. His background as deputy governor, former commissioner for works and infrastructure, and involvement in major projects supports trader consensus around continuity within the APC, which has held the governorship since 1999. Recent campaign activity, including policy statements on housing and infrastructure, alongside endorsements from professional groups, has reinforced his position ahead of the election. Lower-priced opposition candidates reflect limited organized challenges at this stage.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$5,387End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Obafemi Hamzat holds the leading position in the Lagos 2027 gubernatorial market due to his selection as the All Progressives Congress (APC) consensus candidate. Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu and President Bola Tinubu endorsed him early in 2026, followed by the party's Governance Advisory Council. Hamzat secured the APC nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 657,000 votes against minimal opposition after other aspirants withdrew. His background as deputy governor, former commissioner for works and infrastructure, and involvement in major projects supports trader consensus around continuity within the APC, which has held the governorship since 1999. Recent campaign activity, including policy statements on housing and infrastructure, alongside endorsements from professional groups, has reinforced his position ahead of the election. Lower-priced opposition candidates reflect limited organized challenges at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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