**Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi), the APC candidate, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 86.5% due to his emergence as the party’s consensus and primary nominee for the 2027 Ogun governorship.** Governor Dapo Abiodun and key figures including former governors Olusegun Osoba, Ibikunle Amosun, and Gbenga Daniel endorsed him in April 2026, citing equity for Ogun West—which has never produced a governor since the state’s creation—and Adeola’s legislative record and grassroots projects. He secured the APC ticket in the May 2026 direct primary with 304,055 votes against zero for his sole challenger, and his name plus running mate Kudirat Adegunwa-Balogun was submitted to INEC. Recent reaffirmations by the state APC in August 2026, alongside presentations to traditional councils across senatorial districts and cross-party backing, have reinforced perceptions of unified party machinery and limited viable opposition. Lower-priced contenders reflect fragmented or minor-party fields ahead of the February 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOgun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola 87%
Bolaji Odusina 5%
Rotimi Babajide 3.5%
Biodun Ogundipe 3.3%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola
87%
Bolaji Odusina
5%
Rotimi Babajide
3%
Biodun Ogundipe
3%
Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi
1%
Adekunle Adenuga
1%
Oladipupo Adebutu
<1%
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola 87%
Bolaji Odusina 5%
Rotimi Babajide 3.5%
Biodun Ogundipe 3.3%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola
$1,289 Vol.
87%
Bolaji Odusina
$127 Vol.
5%
Rotimi Babajide
$132 Vol.
3%
Biodun Ogundipe
$551 Vol.
3%
Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi
$127 Vol.
1%
Adekunle Adenuga
$127 Vol.
1%
Oladipupo Adebutu
$78 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi), the APC candidate, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 86.5% due to his emergence as the party’s consensus and primary nominee for the 2027 Ogun governorship.** Governor Dapo Abiodun and key figures including former governors Olusegun Osoba, Ibikunle Amosun, and Gbenga Daniel endorsed him in April 2026, citing equity for Ogun West—which has never produced a governor since the state’s creation—and Adeola’s legislative record and grassroots projects. He secured the APC ticket in the May 2026 direct primary with 304,055 votes against zero for his sole challenger, and his name plus running mate Kudirat Adegunwa-Balogun was submitted to INEC. Recent reaffirmations by the state APC in August 2026, alongside presentations to traditional councils across senatorial districts and cross-party backing, have reinforced perceptions of unified party machinery and limited viable opposition. Lower-priced contenders reflect fragmented or minor-party fields ahead of the February 2027 vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Volume
$2,431End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi), the APC candidate, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 86.5% due to his emergence as the party’s consensus and primary nominee for the 2027 Ogun governorship.** Governor Dapo Abiodun and key figures including former governors Olusegun Osoba, Ibikunle Amosun, and Gbenga Daniel endorsed him in April 2026, citing equity for Ogun West—which has never produced a governor since the state’s creation—and Adeola’s legislative record and grassroots projects. He secured the APC ticket in the May 2026 direct primary with 304,055 votes against zero for his sole challenger, and his name plus running mate Kudirat Adegunwa-Balogun was submitted to INEC. Recent reaffirmations by the state APC in August 2026, alongside presentations to traditional councils across senatorial districts and cross-party backing, have reinforced perceptions of unified party machinery and limited viable opposition. Lower-priced contenders reflect fragmented or minor-party fields ahead of the February 2027 vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$2,431End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi), the APC candidate, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 86.5% due to his emergence as the party’s consensus and primary nominee for the 2027 Ogun governorship.** Governor Dapo Abiodun and key figures including former governors Olusegun Osoba, Ibikunle Amosun, and Gbenga Daniel endorsed him in April 2026, citing equity for Ogun West—which has never produced a governor since the state’s creation—and Adeola’s legislative record and grassroots projects. He secured the APC ticket in the May 2026 direct primary with 304,055 votes against zero for his sole challenger, and his name plus running mate Kudirat Adegunwa-Balogun was submitted to INEC. Recent reaffirmations by the state APC in August 2026, alongside presentations to traditional councils across senatorial districts and cross-party backing, have reinforced perceptions of unified party machinery and limited viable opposition. Lower-priced contenders reflect fragmented or minor-party fields ahead of the February 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions