The 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election remains highly competitive with traders assigning roughly even implied probabilities across numerous candidates and “other,” reflecting an early pre-primary phase ahead of the February 6 vote. APC nominee Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar and APM standard-bearer Yakubu Adamu currently lead specific-name markets, yet fragmented field entries from PDP, APC-aligned aspirants, and independents prevent consolidation. Key variables include senatorial zoning conventions, party primary outcomes, endorsements from the outgoing administration, and turnout patterns across Bauchi’s three senatorial districts. Any major convention upset, high-profile defection, or shift in national APC-PDP alignments could quickly reorder probabilities before the general election campaign intensifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Yakubu Adamu 40%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar 40%
Usman Supi 7.0%
Umar Shehu Buba 6%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Yakubu Adamu
40%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar
40%
Usman Supi
7%
Umar Shehu Buba
6%
Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim
5%
Mohammed Aliyu
5%
Yakubu Adamu 40%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar 40%
Usman Supi 7.0%
Umar Shehu Buba 6%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Yakubu Adamu
$491 Vol.
40%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar
$559 Vol.
40%
Usman Supi
$38 Vol.
7%
Umar Shehu Buba
$146 Vol.
6%
Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim
$38 Vol.
5%
Mohammed Aliyu
$38 Vol.
5%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.The 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election remains highly competitive with traders assigning roughly even implied probabilities across numerous candidates and “other,” reflecting an early pre-primary phase ahead of the February 6 vote. APC nominee Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar and APM standard-bearer Yakubu Adamu currently lead specific-name markets, yet fragmented field entries from PDP, APC-aligned aspirants, and independents prevent consolidation. Key variables include senatorial zoning conventions, party primary outcomes, endorsements from the outgoing administration, and turnout patterns across Bauchi’s three senatorial districts. Any major convention upset, high-profile defection, or shift in national APC-PDP alignments could quickly reorder probabilities before the general election campaign intensifies.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$1,311End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.The 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election remains highly competitive with traders assigning roughly even implied probabilities across numerous candidates and “other,” reflecting an early pre-primary phase ahead of the February 6 vote. APC nominee Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar and APM standard-bearer Yakubu Adamu currently lead specific-name markets, yet fragmented field entries from PDP, APC-aligned aspirants, and independents prevent consolidation. Key variables include senatorial zoning conventions, party primary outcomes, endorsements from the outgoing administration, and turnout patterns across Bauchi’s three senatorial districts. Any major convention upset, high-profile defection, or shift in national APC-PDP alignments could quickly reorder probabilities before the general election campaign intensifies.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$1,311End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election remains highly competitive with traders assigning roughly even implied probabilities across numerous candidates and “other,” reflecting an early pre-primary phase ahead of the February 6 vote. APC nominee Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar and APM standard-bearer Yakubu Adamu currently lead specific-name markets, yet fragmented field entries from PDP, APC-aligned aspirants, and independents prevent consolidation. Key variables include senatorial zoning conventions, party primary outcomes, endorsements from the outgoing administration, and turnout patterns across Bauchi’s three senatorial districts. Any major convention upset, high-profile defection, or shift in national APC-PDP alignments could quickly reorder probabilities before the general election campaign intensifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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