Donald Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social underpins the market's 100% consensus on 200+ posts for August 18-25. Data from 2025 showed an average of 18 posts per day across more than 6,000 total entries, with multiple days exceeding 100 and occasional late-night surges reaching 150-160. In 2026, monthly totals have climbed further, including 861 posts in May for an average of 27 daily. This frequency reflects his routine use of the platform for announcements, commentary, and engagement, making the threshold readily attainable within the eight-day window. Factors that could still alter the outcome include extended travel, health-related pauses, or shifts in daily priorities that reduce output below the recent norm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 100.0%
$60,244 Vol.
$60,244 Vol.
200+
100%
200+ 100.0%
$60,244 Vol.
$60,244 Vol.
200+
100%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Donald Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social underpins the market's 100% consensus on 200+ posts for August 18-25. Data from 2025 showed an average of 18 posts per day across more than 6,000 total entries, with multiple days exceeding 100 and occasional late-night surges reaching 150-160. In 2026, monthly totals have climbed further, including 861 posts in May for an average of 27 daily. This frequency reflects his routine use of the platform for announcements, commentary, and engagement, making the threshold readily attainable within the eight-day window. Factors that could still alter the outcome include extended travel, health-related pauses, or shifts in daily priorities that reduce output below the recent norm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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