Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper's primary victory over challenger Julie Gonzales and the unopposed Republican nomination of Mark Baisley have left the Colorado Senate general election matchup largely settled months in advance. With the race rated as solidly Democratic by forecasters and no major scandals or shifts in national conditions yet emerging, traders see limited catalysts to narrow turnout expectations. Colorado's all-mail voting system and history of elevated participation in federal contests support a range of plausible totals, but variables including candidate mobilization, economic sentiment, and midterm voter enthusiasm keep multiple vote bins clustered near even odds in the market. No decisive late-cycle developments have yet created separation among the outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<2.1M 36%
2.55M-2.7M 31%
2.85M-3M 29%
3M+ 29%
<2.1M
36%
2.1M-2.25M
21%
2.25M-2.4M
25%
2.4M-2.55M
28%
2.55M-2.7M
31%
2.7M-2.85M
22%
2.85M-3M
29%
3M+
29%
<2.1M 36%
2.55M-2.7M 31%
2.85M-3M 29%
3M+ 29%
<2.1M
36%
2.1M-2.25M
21%
2.25M-2.4M
25%
2.4M-2.55M
28%
2.55M-2.7M
31%
2.7M-2.85M
22%
2.85M-3M
29%
3M+
29%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper's primary victory over challenger Julie Gonzales and the unopposed Republican nomination of Mark Baisley have left the Colorado Senate general election matchup largely settled months in advance. With the race rated as solidly Democratic by forecasters and no major scandals or shifts in national conditions yet emerging, traders see limited catalysts to narrow turnout expectations. Colorado's all-mail voting system and history of elevated participation in federal contests support a range of plausible totals, but variables including candidate mobilization, economic sentiment, and midterm voter enthusiasm keep multiple vote bins clustered near even odds in the market. No decisive late-cycle developments have yet created separation among the outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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