Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads the Colima governor market at 57.5% implied probability because Morena-PT-PVEM consistently tops statewide surveys at 33-43% while she dominates the party's internal preference polls by double-digit margins over rivals such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. The June 6, 2027 election remains more than ten months away, with formal campaigning not starting until October 2026, leaving candidate fields fluid across parties. Opposition contenders including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez (PAN), Mely Romero Celis (PRI), and Griselda Martínez Martínez (Movimiento Ciudadano) trail overall and remain divided internally, sustaining trader uncertainty. High levels of indecision in recent polls and the absence of finalized nominees or major coalitions keep probabilities clustered until internal selections or new surveys produce clearer frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRosa María Bayardo Cabrera 57%
María Cristina Lupien 13.2%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 11.4%
Griselda Martínez Martínez 9.9%
$27,587 Vol.
$27,587 Vol.
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
57%
María Cristina Lupien
13%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
11%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
10%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
7%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
5%
Joel Padilla Peña
5%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
5%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
4%
Margarita Moreno González
2%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%
César Yáñez Centeno
1%
José Israel González
<1%
Mely Romero Celis
<1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 57%
María Cristina Lupien 13.2%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 11.4%
Griselda Martínez Martínez 9.9%
$27,587 Vol.
$27,587 Vol.
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
57%
María Cristina Lupien
13%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
11%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
10%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
7%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
5%
Joel Padilla Peña
5%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
5%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
4%
Margarita Moreno González
2%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%
César Yáñez Centeno
1%
José Israel González
<1%
Mely Romero Celis
<1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads the Colima governor market at 57.5% implied probability because Morena-PT-PVEM consistently tops statewide surveys at 33-43% while she dominates the party's internal preference polls by double-digit margins over rivals such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. The June 6, 2027 election remains more than ten months away, with formal campaigning not starting until October 2026, leaving candidate fields fluid across parties. Opposition contenders including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez (PAN), Mely Romero Celis (PRI), and Griselda Martínez Martínez (Movimiento Ciudadano) trail overall and remain divided internally, sustaining trader uncertainty. High levels of indecision in recent polls and the absence of finalized nominees or major coalitions keep probabilities clustered until internal selections or new surveys produce clearer frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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