Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing at 65% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, reflecting multiple first-round surveys showing him ahead of or tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT. Recent AtlasIntel, Datafolha, Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec polls placed Ciro between 43% and 52% against Elmano's 31-35%, driven by the former governor's name recognition, PSDB alliances, and opposition momentum in the Northeast state. The most recent Real Time Big Data survey tightened the contest to 44% each in the first round and a near-dead heat in runoff simulations, underscoring polling volatility one month before voting. Minor candidates remain negligible, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout and second-round dynamics between the two frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 65%
Elmano de Freitas 36%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$180,935 Vol.
$180,935 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
65%
Elmano de Freitas
36%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 65%
Elmano de Freitas 36%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$180,935 Vol.
$180,935 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$90,833 Vol.
65%
Elmano de Freitas
$36,193 Vol.
36%
Eduardo Girão
$14,016 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$13,511 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$12,450 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$13,931 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing at 65% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, reflecting multiple first-round surveys showing him ahead of or tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT. Recent AtlasIntel, Datafolha, Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec polls placed Ciro between 43% and 52% against Elmano's 31-35%, driven by the former governor's name recognition, PSDB alliances, and opposition momentum in the Northeast state. The most recent Real Time Big Data survey tightened the contest to 44% each in the first round and a near-dead heat in runoff simulations, underscoring polling volatility one month before voting. Minor candidates remain negligible, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout and second-round dynamics between the two frontrunners.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$180,935End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing at 65% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, reflecting multiple first-round surveys showing him ahead of or tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT. Recent AtlasIntel, Datafolha, Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec polls placed Ciro between 43% and 52% against Elmano's 31-35%, driven by the former governor's name recognition, PSDB alliances, and opposition momentum in the Northeast state. The most recent Real Time Big Data survey tightened the contest to 44% each in the first round and a near-dead heat in runoff simulations, underscoring polling volatility one month before voting. Minor candidates remain negligible, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout and second-round dynamics between the two frontrunners.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$180,935End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing at 65% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, reflecting multiple first-round surveys showing him ahead of or tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT. Recent AtlasIntel, Datafolha, Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec polls placed Ciro between 43% and 52% against Elmano's 31-35%, driven by the former governor's name recognition, PSDB alliances, and opposition momentum in the Northeast state. The most recent Real Time Big Data survey tightened the contest to 44% each in the first round and a near-dead heat in runoff simulations, underscoring polling volatility one month before voting. Minor candidates remain negligible, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout and second-round dynamics between the two frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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