Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Goiás at 58.5% amid the October 4 first-round contest, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado at 36.5% and lower probabilities for Lula and others. The Bolsonaro family endorsement, Jair Bolsonaro’s imprisonment, and right-wing voter consolidation around the Liberal Party candidate have boosted Flávio’s position in the state despite Caiado’s recent tenure as Goiás governor and center-right PSD base. National polling shows the top two candidates running close overall, with state-level dynamics influenced by turnout among conservative voters, crime concerns, and limited space for alternatives like Romeu Zema. Scheduled debates, final campaign events, and any late shifts in local alliances could alter the Goiás vote split before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás
Flavio Bolsonaro 59%
Ronaldo Caiado 37%
Lula 1.6%
Clariana Barao <1%
$33,433 Vol.
$33,433 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
59%
Ronaldo Caiado
37%
Lula
2%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 59%
Ronaldo Caiado 37%
Lula 1.6%
Clariana Barao <1%
$33,433 Vol.
$33,433 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$14,847 Vol.
59%
Ronaldo Caiado
$8,064 Vol.
37%
Lula
$4,766 Vol.
2%
Clariana Barao
$469 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$458 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$494 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$519 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,480 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$570 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$385 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$398 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$537 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$444 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Goiás at 58.5% amid the October 4 first-round contest, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado at 36.5% and lower probabilities for Lula and others. The Bolsonaro family endorsement, Jair Bolsonaro’s imprisonment, and right-wing voter consolidation around the Liberal Party candidate have boosted Flávio’s position in the state despite Caiado’s recent tenure as Goiás governor and center-right PSD base. National polling shows the top two candidates running close overall, with state-level dynamics influenced by turnout among conservative voters, crime concerns, and limited space for alternatives like Romeu Zema. Scheduled debates, final campaign events, and any late shifts in local alliances could alter the Goiás vote split before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$33,433End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Goiás at 58.5% amid the October 4 first-round contest, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado at 36.5% and lower probabilities for Lula and others. The Bolsonaro family endorsement, Jair Bolsonaro’s imprisonment, and right-wing voter consolidation around the Liberal Party candidate have boosted Flávio’s position in the state despite Caiado’s recent tenure as Goiás governor and center-right PSD base. National polling shows the top two candidates running close overall, with state-level dynamics influenced by turnout among conservative voters, crime concerns, and limited space for alternatives like Romeu Zema. Scheduled debates, final campaign events, and any late shifts in local alliances could alter the Goiás vote split before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$33,433End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Goiás at 58.5% amid the October 4 first-round contest, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado at 36.5% and lower probabilities for Lula and others. The Bolsonaro family endorsement, Jair Bolsonaro’s imprisonment, and right-wing voter consolidation around the Liberal Party candidate have boosted Flávio’s position in the state despite Caiado’s recent tenure as Goiás governor and center-right PSD base. National polling shows the top two candidates running close overall, with state-level dynamics influenced by turnout among conservative voters, crime concerns, and limited space for alternatives like Romeu Zema. Scheduled debates, final campaign events, and any late shifts in local alliances could alter the Goiás vote split before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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