Ismael Burgueño Ruiz holds the strongest position in Baja California’s 2027 gubernatorial race through his lead in Morena’s internal nomination surveys, reflecting his name recognition and infrastructure as Tijuana mayor on leave since June 2026. Multiple aspirants, including Julieta Ramírez Padilla, registered for the party’s selection process that month, keeping the field open and probabilities clustered. Traders price the outcome as competitive because the coalition nominee remains unconfirmed, with no decisive endorsements or statewide polling yet established. Further internal surveys, coalition negotiations, or shifts in voter preferences among border municipalities could widen gaps ahead of the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsmael Burgueño Ruiz 44%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla 21.0%
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega 5.9%
Gustavo Macalpin 5.6%
$12,339 Vol.
$12,339 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz
44%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla
21%
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega
6%
Gustavo Macalpin
6%
Armando Ayala Robles
5%
Héctor Osuna Jaime
4%
Juan Carlos Hank
4%
Gina Cruz Blackledge
3%
Víctor Galicia
3%
Fernando Castro Trenti
2%
Gustavo de Hoyos Walther
2%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez
2%
Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe
2%
Evangelina Moreno Guerra
2%
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas
1%
Daylín García Ruvalcaba
1%
Karla Ruiz Macfarland
1%
Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros
1%
Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso
1%
Jorge Ramos Hernández
<1%
Ana Daniela García Salgado
<1%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 44%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla 21.0%
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega 5.9%
Gustavo Macalpin 5.6%
$12,339 Vol.
$12,339 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz
$1,661 Vol.
44%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla
$5,896 Vol.
21%
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega
$284 Vol.
6%
Gustavo Macalpin
$301 Vol.
6%
Armando Ayala Robles
$244 Vol.
5%
Héctor Osuna Jaime
$248 Vol.
4%
Juan Carlos Hank
$250 Vol.
4%
Gina Cruz Blackledge
$244 Vol.
3%
Víctor Galicia
$250 Vol.
3%
Fernando Castro Trenti
$250 Vol.
2%
Gustavo de Hoyos Walther
$227 Vol.
2%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez
$250 Vol.
2%
Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe
$244 Vol.
2%
Evangelina Moreno Guerra
$251 Vol.
2%
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas
$244 Vol.
1%
Daylín García Ruvalcaba
$250 Vol.
1%
Karla Ruiz Macfarland
$276 Vol.
1%
Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros
$247 Vol.
1%
Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso
$239 Vol.
1%
Jorge Ramos Hernández
$230 Vol.
<1%
Ana Daniela García Salgado
$248 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Ismael Burgueño Ruiz holds the strongest position in Baja California’s 2027 gubernatorial race through his lead in Morena’s internal nomination surveys, reflecting his name recognition and infrastructure as Tijuana mayor on leave since June 2026. Multiple aspirants, including Julieta Ramírez Padilla, registered for the party’s selection process that month, keeping the field open and probabilities clustered. Traders price the outcome as competitive because the coalition nominee remains unconfirmed, with no decisive endorsements or statewide polling yet established. Further internal surveys, coalition negotiations, or shifts in voter preferences among border municipalities could widen gaps ahead of the general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Volume
$12,339End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Ismael Burgueño Ruiz holds the strongest position in Baja California’s 2027 gubernatorial race through his lead in Morena’s internal nomination surveys, reflecting his name recognition and infrastructure as Tijuana mayor on leave since June 2026. Multiple aspirants, including Julieta Ramírez Padilla, registered for the party’s selection process that month, keeping the field open and probabilities clustered. Traders price the outcome as competitive because the coalition nominee remains unconfirmed, with no decisive endorsements or statewide polling yet established. Further internal surveys, coalition negotiations, or shifts in voter preferences among border municipalities could widen gaps ahead of the general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$12,339End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ismael Burgueño Ruiz holds the strongest position in Baja California’s 2027 gubernatorial race through his lead in Morena’s internal nomination surveys, reflecting his name recognition and infrastructure as Tijuana mayor on leave since June 2026. Multiple aspirants, including Julieta Ramírez Padilla, registered for the party’s selection process that month, keeping the field open and probabilities clustered. Traders price the outcome as competitive because the coalition nominee remains unconfirmed, with no decisive endorsements or statewide polling yet established. Further internal surveys, coalition negotiations, or shifts in voter preferences among border municipalities could widen gaps ahead of the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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