Anthropic’s rapid revenue acceleration to a $65 billion annualized run rate, paired with internal projections of $190–200 billion by 2028, underpins trader consensus that the Claude developer’s October IPO will clear an 1.8T closing market cap. The May Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation, strong Q2 results showing the first quarterly operating profit, and underwriter guidance from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced expectations of a record $2 trillion-plus debut that would surpass SpaceX. Secondary-market trading near $1.2 trillion and Anthropic’s edge over OpenAI in recent benchmarks further support the 81.5% implied probability on the top bracket, while the company’s confidential S-1 and upcoming public filing serve as near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 82%
1.5–1.8T 11.8%
1.2–1.5T 2.9%
<0.6T <1%
$358,467 Vol.
$358,467 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
3%
1.5–1.8T
12%
1.8T+
82%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
1.8T+ 82%
1.5–1.8T 11.8%
1.2–1.5T 2.9%
<0.6T <1%
$358,467 Vol.
$358,467 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
<0.6T
$18,653 Vol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$24,330 Vol.
1%
0.9–1.2T
$23,797 Vol.
1%
1.2–1.5T
$32,368 Vol.
3%
1.5–1.8T
$37,947 Vol.
12%
1.8T+
$174,353 Vol.
82%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$47,020 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue acceleration to a $65 billion annualized run rate, paired with internal projections of $190–200 billion by 2028, underpins trader consensus that the Claude developer’s October IPO will clear an 1.8T closing market cap. The May Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation, strong Q2 results showing the first quarterly operating profit, and underwriter guidance from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced expectations of a record $2 trillion-plus debut that would surpass SpaceX. Secondary-market trading near $1.2 trillion and Anthropic’s edge over OpenAI in recent benchmarks further support the 81.5% implied probability on the top bracket, while the company’s confidential S-1 and upcoming public filing serve as near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$358,467End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue acceleration to a $65 billion annualized run rate, paired with internal projections of $190–200 billion by 2028, underpins trader consensus that the Claude developer’s October IPO will clear an 1.8T closing market cap. The May Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation, strong Q2 results showing the first quarterly operating profit, and underwriter guidance from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced expectations of a record $2 trillion-plus debut that would surpass SpaceX. Secondary-market trading near $1.2 trillion and Anthropic’s edge over OpenAI in recent benchmarks further support the 81.5% implied probability on the top bracket, while the company’s confidential S-1 and upcoming public filing serve as near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$358,467End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue acceleration to a $65 billion annualized run rate, paired with internal projections of $190–200 billion by 2028, underpins trader consensus that the Claude developer’s October IPO will clear an 1.8T closing market cap. The May Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation, strong Q2 results showing the first quarterly operating profit, and underwriter guidance from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced expectations of a record $2 trillion-plus debut that would surpass SpaceX. Secondary-market trading near $1.2 trillion and Anthropic’s edge over OpenAI in recent benchmarks further support the 81.5% implied probability on the top bracket, while the company’s confidential S-1 and upcoming public filing serve as near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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