Zohran Mamdani, naturalized as a U.S. citizen in 2018 after arriving from Uganda as a child, faces significant legal and procedural barriers to denaturalization, which requires a federal court order proving material fraud or willful misrepresentation during the application process. Republican calls for DOJ investigation in 2025 centered on prior statements and associations but produced no actionable findings or proceedings, consistent with narrow historical precedents for revoking citizenship. Traders assign 95.8% probability to no revocation before 2027 due to this high evidentiary threshold and absence of new developments. Realistic shifts could still arise from verified evidence of application fraud or a sustained executive push, though both remain uncommon and subject to judicial review.