UPND secured a commanding position in Zambia’s National Assembly contest through decisive voter support in the August 13, 2026 general election, building on its incumbency advantages, broad candidate field, and unopposed seats in multiple constituencies. Official tallies show the party on track for a clear majority of seats, consistent with Hakainde Hichilema’s presidential victory above the 50 percent threshold. Fragmented opposition, including NRPUP, and limited coordination among smaller parties further consolidated UPND’s edge. Trader consensus at 99.2 percent reflects these verified parliamentary outcomes. Remaining declarations or procedural disputes could still affect final seat totals, though any reversal of the overall result appears highly improbable given current margins and institutional processes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUPND 99.1%
NRPUP 1.9%
SP <1%
CF <1%
$26,746 Vol.
$26,746 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
UPND
99%
NRPUP
2%
SP
1%
CF
<1%
UPND 99.1%
NRPUP 1.9%
SP <1%
CF <1%
$26,746 Vol.
$26,746 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
UPND
$20,654 Vol.
99%
NRPUP
$2,587 Vol.
2%
SP
$1,740 Vol.
1%
CF
$1,764 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.UPND secured a commanding position in Zambia’s National Assembly contest through decisive voter support in the August 13, 2026 general election, building on its incumbency advantages, broad candidate field, and unopposed seats in multiple constituencies. Official tallies show the party on track for a clear majority of seats, consistent with Hakainde Hichilema’s presidential victory above the 50 percent threshold. Fragmented opposition, including NRPUP, and limited coordination among smaller parties further consolidated UPND’s edge. Trader consensus at 99.2 percent reflects these verified parliamentary outcomes. Remaining declarations or procedural disputes could still affect final seat totals, though any reversal of the overall result appears highly improbable given current margins and institutional processes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$26,746End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.UPND secured a commanding position in Zambia’s National Assembly contest through decisive voter support in the August 13, 2026 general election, building on its incumbency advantages, broad candidate field, and unopposed seats in multiple constituencies. Official tallies show the party on track for a clear majority of seats, consistent with Hakainde Hichilema’s presidential victory above the 50 percent threshold. Fragmented opposition, including NRPUP, and limited coordination among smaller parties further consolidated UPND’s edge. Trader consensus at 99.2 percent reflects these verified parliamentary outcomes. Remaining declarations or procedural disputes could still affect final seat totals, though any reversal of the overall result appears highly improbable given current margins and institutional processes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
Volume
$26,746End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...UPND secured a commanding position in Zambia’s National Assembly contest through decisive voter support in the August 13, 2026 general election, building on its incumbency advantages, broad candidate field, and unopposed seats in multiple constituencies. Official tallies show the party on track for a clear majority of seats, consistent with Hakainde Hichilema’s presidential victory above the 50 percent threshold. Fragmented opposition, including NRPUP, and limited coordination among smaller parties further consolidated UPND’s edge. Trader consensus at 99.2 percent reflects these verified parliamentary outcomes. Remaining declarations or procedural disputes could still affect final seat totals, though any reversal of the overall result appears highly improbable given current margins and institutional processes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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