Baba Malam Wali’s decisive victory in the August 2026 APC governorship primary, where he secured over 236,000 votes, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner for the 2027 Yobe State election. Governor Mai Mala Buni’s endorsement of Wali as preferred successor, combined with backing from local government chairmen, traditional rulers, and party stakeholders, has consolidated support around the former Secretary to the State Government. Initial challenges from other APC aspirants largely subsided after several withdrawals, reinforcing party unity. In Yobe, where the APC has maintained strong control, traders assign Wali an 86.5% implied probability, while lower-priced alternatives such as Abdullahi Sharif reflect limited visibility for opposition or independent bids. The market reflects consensus around continuity within the ruling party ahead of the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Baba Wali 87%
Abdullahi Sharif 10%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida 3.0%
Kassim Gana Geidam 1.5%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Baba Wali
87%
Abdullahi Sharif
10%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida
3%
Kassim Gana Geidam
1%
Baba Wali 87%
Abdullahi Sharif 10%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida 3.0%
Kassim Gana Geidam 1.5%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Baba Wali
$5,553 Vol.
87%
Abdullahi Sharif
$435 Vol.
10%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida
$231 Vol.
3%
Kassim Gana Geidam
$131 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Baba Malam Wali’s decisive victory in the August 2026 APC governorship primary, where he secured over 236,000 votes, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner for the 2027 Yobe State election. Governor Mai Mala Buni’s endorsement of Wali as preferred successor, combined with backing from local government chairmen, traditional rulers, and party stakeholders, has consolidated support around the former Secretary to the State Government. Initial challenges from other APC aspirants largely subsided after several withdrawals, reinforcing party unity. In Yobe, where the APC has maintained strong control, traders assign Wali an 86.5% implied probability, while lower-priced alternatives such as Abdullahi Sharif reflect limited visibility for opposition or independent bids. The market reflects consensus around continuity within the ruling party ahead of the general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$6,349End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Baba Malam Wali’s decisive victory in the August 2026 APC governorship primary, where he secured over 236,000 votes, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner for the 2027 Yobe State election. Governor Mai Mala Buni’s endorsement of Wali as preferred successor, combined with backing from local government chairmen, traditional rulers, and party stakeholders, has consolidated support around the former Secretary to the State Government. Initial challenges from other APC aspirants largely subsided after several withdrawals, reinforcing party unity. In Yobe, where the APC has maintained strong control, traders assign Wali an 86.5% implied probability, while lower-priced alternatives such as Abdullahi Sharif reflect limited visibility for opposition or independent bids. The market reflects consensus around continuity within the ruling party ahead of the general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$6,349End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Baba Malam Wali’s decisive victory in the August 2026 APC governorship primary, where he secured over 236,000 votes, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner for the 2027 Yobe State election. Governor Mai Mala Buni’s endorsement of Wali as preferred successor, combined with backing from local government chairmen, traditional rulers, and party stakeholders, has consolidated support around the former Secretary to the State Government. Initial challenges from other APC aspirants largely subsided after several withdrawals, reinforcing party unity. In Yobe, where the APC has maintained strong control, traders assign Wali an 86.5% implied probability, while lower-priced alternatives such as Abdullahi Sharif reflect limited visibility for opposition or independent bids. The market reflects consensus around continuity within the ruling party ahead of the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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