Gold (XAU/USD) has rallied sharply toward the $4,650–$4,680 zone in late August 2026, driven primarily by U.S. Treasury bond-buyback expansions that revived debasement-trade flows and reduced real yields, alongside softer July nonfarm payrolls that lowered September Federal Reserve rate-hike odds to roughly 30–35 percent. A weaker dollar and persistent Middle East tensions tied to the Strait of Hormuz have reinforced safe-haven demand, while ongoing central-bank purchases provide structural support. Traders are watching upcoming economic releases and any FOMC signals that could shift the implied policy path, with market-implied odds reflecting consensus around holding the funds rate near 3.50–3.75 percent amid mixed growth data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15,000 Vol.
↑ $4,950
8%
↑ $4,900
17%
↑ $4,850
24%
↑ $4,800
40%
↑ $4,750
63%
↑ $4,700
94%
↓ $4,550
25%
↓ $4,500
13%
↓ $4,450
7%
↓ $4,400
9%
↓ $4,350
4%
↓ $4,300
3%
$15,000 Vol.
↑ $4,950
8%
↑ $4,900
17%
↑ $4,850
24%
↑ $4,800
40%
↑ $4,750
63%
↑ $4,700
94%
↓ $4,550
25%
↓ $4,500
13%
↓ $4,450
7%
↓ $4,400
9%
↓ $4,350
4%
↓ $4,300
3%
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold (XAU/USD) has rallied sharply toward the $4,650–$4,680 zone in late August 2026, driven primarily by U.S. Treasury bond-buyback expansions that revived debasement-trade flows and reduced real yields, alongside softer July nonfarm payrolls that lowered September Federal Reserve rate-hike odds to roughly 30–35 percent. A weaker dollar and persistent Middle East tensions tied to the Strait of Hormuz have reinforced safe-haven demand, while ongoing central-bank purchases provide structural support. Traders are watching upcoming economic releases and any FOMC signals that could shift the implied policy path, with market-implied odds reflecting consensus around holding the funds rate near 3.50–3.75 percent amid mixed growth data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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