The ongoing Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began on July 6, 2026, centers trader assessments around the presentation of evidence on Article I allegations involving alleged misuse of roughly P612.5 million in confidential funds, alongside claims of graft, bribery, and grave threats. Prosecution witnesses, including former bank officials and auditors, have testified on disbursement and liquidation practices during recent sessions. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges by the December 31, 2026 deadline, a threshold the current Senate arithmetic and evidence flow render attainable yet uncertain given procedural rules, defense responses, and lingering alliances. The 57% Yes consensus reflects skin-in-the-game weighting of these developments without assuming a predetermined outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
57% chance
$11,116 Vol.
$11,116 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
57% chance
$11,116 Vol.
$11,116 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began on July 6, 2026, centers trader assessments around the presentation of evidence on Article I allegations involving alleged misuse of roughly P612.5 million in confidential funds, alongside claims of graft, bribery, and grave threats. Prosecution witnesses, including former bank officials and auditors, have testified on disbursement and liquidation practices during recent sessions. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges by the December 31, 2026 deadline, a threshold the current Senate arithmetic and evidence flow render attainable yet uncertain given procedural rules, defense responses, and lingering alliances. The 57% Yes consensus reflects skin-in-the-game weighting of these developments without assuming a predetermined outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$11,116End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began on July 6, 2026, centers trader assessments around the presentation of evidence on Article I allegations involving alleged misuse of roughly P612.5 million in confidential funds, alongside claims of graft, bribery, and grave threats. Prosecution witnesses, including former bank officials and auditors, have testified on disbursement and liquidation practices during recent sessions. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges by the December 31, 2026 deadline, a threshold the current Senate arithmetic and evidence flow render attainable yet uncertain given procedural rules, defense responses, and lingering alliances. The 57% Yes consensus reflects skin-in-the-game weighting of these developments without assuming a predetermined outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$11,116End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began on July 6, 2026, centers trader assessments around the presentation of evidence on Article I allegations involving alleged misuse of roughly P612.5 million in confidential funds, alongside claims of graft, bribery, and grave threats. Prosecution witnesses, including former bank officials and auditors, have testified on disbursement and liquidation practices during recent sessions. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges by the December 31, 2026 deadline, a threshold the current Senate arithmetic and evidence flow render attainable yet uncertain given procedural rules, defense responses, and lingering alliances. The 57% Yes consensus reflects skin-in-the-game weighting of these developments without assuming a predetermined outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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