Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,653 reflect a modest pullback from the August 13 record close of 7,799 amid elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.71% and geopolitical tensions over new U.S. sanctions on Iran. This week's primary catalysts include Nvidia's earnings release, the July PCE inflation print on Wednesday—the Fed's preferred gauge expected near 0.2% month-over-month—and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Friday speech at Jackson Hole, which could clarify the monetary policy path after recent hawkish signals. Additional data on Q2 GDP, consumer confidence, and durable goods orders will inform growth and rate expectations, while AI-related earnings and Treasury auction demand add volatility to equity pricing in a market pricing limited near-term policy easing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,857 Vol.
↑ $800
6%
↑ $795
5%
↑ $790
4%
↑ $785
7%
↑ $780
15%
↑ $775
28%
↑ $770
56%
↓ $760
74%
↓ $755
40%
↓ $750
16%
↓ $745
9%
↓ $740
5%
↓ $735
6%
$14,857 Vol.
↑ $800
6%
↑ $795
5%
↑ $790
4%
↑ $785
7%
↑ $780
15%
↑ $775
28%
↑ $770
56%
↓ $760
74%
↓ $755
40%
↓ $750
16%
↓ $745
9%
↓ $740
5%
↓ $735
6%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,653 reflect a modest pullback from the August 13 record close of 7,799 amid elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.71% and geopolitical tensions over new U.S. sanctions on Iran. This week's primary catalysts include Nvidia's earnings release, the July PCE inflation print on Wednesday—the Fed's preferred gauge expected near 0.2% month-over-month—and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Friday speech at Jackson Hole, which could clarify the monetary policy path after recent hawkish signals. Additional data on Q2 GDP, consumer confidence, and durable goods orders will inform growth and rate expectations, while AI-related earnings and Treasury auction demand add volatility to equity pricing in a market pricing limited near-term policy easing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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