Greenland's path to full independence from Denmark requires parliamentary approval in the Inatsisartut, followed by negotiations on terms and a binding referendum under the 2009 Self-Government Act. Recent elections strengthened parties favoring a gradual approach, with polls showing majority support for sovereignty only if living standards and Danish subsidies remain intact. Economic dependence on Copenhagen, limited resource revenue, and the absence of scheduled parliamentary action or a prepared referendum make a 2026 vote improbable. Trader consensus at 95.5% against reflects these structural barriers, though late political shifts or accelerated commission proposals could still introduce limited uncertainty before year-end.