Petr Yan holds the UFC bantamweight title after reclaiming it via unanimous decision over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, ending the Georgian's 14-fight win streak and positioning Yan with four consecutive victories. Their October 24 trilogy bout at UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi represents the clearest near-term path to the belt through the end of 2026, with trader consensus reflecting Yan's technical striking, defensive improvements, and proven ability against top competition. Merab's relentless wrestling and cardio keep him as a close second, though questions around durability and recovery from recent weight cuts have tempered his implied probability. Sean O'Malley sits further back after recent wins but lacks an immediate title opportunity, while rising contenders like Umar Nurmagomedov and Song Yadong remain outside the primary title picture pending their upcoming matchup and further results. The division's depth and history of upsets underscore the uncertainty beyond the next few defenses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 54%
Merab Dvalishvili 40%
Sean O'Malley 3.3%
Song Yadong 1.3%
$452,373 Vol.
$452,373 Vol.
Petr Yan
54%
Merab Dvalishvili
40%
Sean O'Malley
3%
Song Yadong
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Petr Yan 54%
Merab Dvalishvili 40%
Sean O'Malley 3.3%
Song Yadong 1.3%
$452,373 Vol.
$452,373 Vol.
Petr Yan
54%
Merab Dvalishvili
40%
Sean O'Malley
3%
Song Yadong
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan holds the UFC bantamweight title after reclaiming it via unanimous decision over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, ending the Georgian's 14-fight win streak and positioning Yan with four consecutive victories. Their October 24 trilogy bout at UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi represents the clearest near-term path to the belt through the end of 2026, with trader consensus reflecting Yan's technical striking, defensive improvements, and proven ability against top competition. Merab's relentless wrestling and cardio keep him as a close second, though questions around durability and recovery from recent weight cuts have tempered his implied probability. Sean O'Malley sits further back after recent wins but lacks an immediate title opportunity, while rising contenders like Umar Nurmagomedov and Song Yadong remain outside the primary title picture pending their upcoming matchup and further results. The division's depth and history of upsets underscore the uncertainty beyond the next few defenses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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