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Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$58,011 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$58,011 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$1,611 Vol.

87%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$111 Vol.

87%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$3,527 Vol.

82%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$1,583 Vol.

80%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$20 Vol.

78%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$70 Vol.

77%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$1,077 Vol.

73%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$858 Vol.

68%

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J.B. Pritzker

$45 Vol.

67%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$100 Vol.

66%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$468 Vol.

75%

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Mark Kelly

$126 Vol.

64%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$1,780 Vol.

61%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$120 Vol.

60%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$2,418 Vol.

56%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$2,552 Vol.

48%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

47%

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Andrew Yang

$1,439 Vol.

42%

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Marco Rubio

$1,618 Vol.

41%

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Nikki Haley

$100 Vol.

40%

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Rand Paul

$121 Vol.

36%

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Jared Polis

$80 Vol.

36%

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Tim Walz

$3,335 Vol.

33%

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Elise Stefanik

$20 Vol.

32%

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Raphael Warnock

$60 Vol.

32%

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Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

30%

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Glenn Youngkin

$468 Vol.

29%

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Tucker Carlson

$2,251 Vol.

29%

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Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

28%

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Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

28%

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Don Lemon

$0 Vol.

28%

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Brian Kemp

$262 Vol.

26%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$410 Vol.

25%

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Kim Kardashian

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25%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$482 Vol.

25%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$815 Vol.

39%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$332 Vol.

24%

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Elon Musk

$1,322 Vol.

23%

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Byron Donalds

$64 Vol.

22%

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Liz Cheney

$1,351 Vol.

21%

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George Clooney

$929 Vol.

23%

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Steve Bannon

$2,061 Vol.

21%

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Gina Raimondo

$1,076 Vol.

20%

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John Fetterman

$1,659 Vol.

20%

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Phil Murphy

$563 Vol.

20%

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Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

19%

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Stephen A. Smith

$811 Vol.

19%

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John Thune

$203 Vol.

18%

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Mark Cuban

$143 Vol.

18%

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Jon Stewart

$1,476 Vol.

17%

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Mike Pence

$542 Vol.

17%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$725 Vol.

16%

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Michelle Obama

$783 Vol.

16%

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Bernie Sanders

$997 Vol.

15%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$884 Vol.

15%

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Roy Cooper

$40 Vol.

15%

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Hunter Biden

$1,265 Vol.

14%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$142 Vol.

13%

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Oprah Winfrey

$20 Vol.

14%

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Donald Trump

$0 Vol.

14%

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Tom Brady

$20 Vol.

13%

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Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

13%

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Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

12%

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Zohran Mamdani

$1,471 Vol.

11%

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Erika Kirk

$2,272 Vol.

10%

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MrBeast

$1,772 Vol.

10%

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Hillary Clinton

$3,077 Vol.

8%

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Barack Obama

$572 Vol.

5%

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Chelsea Clinton

$63 Vol.

4%

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LeBron James

$99 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 presidential field remains wide open in August 2026, with no major-party contenders having formally declared. Vice President JD Vance leads early Republican primary polls and prediction markets, followed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while the Democratic side shows a fragmented contest featuring former Vice President Kamala Harris, Governor Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez across national and state surveys. Potential candidates are building visibility through travel, podcasts, and exploratory signals, with most deferring explicit commitments until after the November 2026 midterms. Historical precedent points to the bulk of announcements occurring in early-to-mid 2027, positioning the race for an extended primary season ahead of the 2028 conventions. Trader focus centers on which figures convert current polling momentum and institutional positioning into timely declarations before filing deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$58,011
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 presidential field remains wide open in August 2026, with no major-party contenders having formally declared. Vice President JD Vance leads early Republican primary polls and prediction markets, followed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while the Democratic side shows a fragmented contest featuring former Vice President Kamala Harris, Governor Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez across national and state surveys. Potential candidates are building visibility through travel, podcasts, and exploratory signals, with most deferring explicit commitments until after the November 2026 midterms. Historical precedent points to the bulk of announcements occurring in early-to-mid 2027, positioning the race for an extended primary season ahead of the 2028 conventions. Trader focus centers on which figures convert current polling momentum and institutional positioning into timely declarations before filing deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$58,011
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 87%, followed by "Pete Buttigieg" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" has generated $58K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is "J.D. Vance" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pete Buttigieg" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.