Skip to main content
icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$46,459 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$46,459 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$752 Vol.

91%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$111 Vol.

87%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$1,563 Vol.

82%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$3,527 Vol.

82%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$20 Vol.

78%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$1,077 Vol.

75%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$70 Vol.

74%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$100 Vol.

70%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$858 Vol.

68%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$45 Vol.

67%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$468 Vol.

75%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$126 Vol.

64%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$1,780 Vol.

61%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$120 Vol.

60%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$20 Vol.

54%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$2,316 Vol.

53%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$1,439 Vol.

43%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$1,618 Vol.

42%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$100 Vol.

39%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$121 Vol.

36%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$80 Vol.

36%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$60 Vol.

32%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

31%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$2,231 Vol.

29%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$585 Vol.

28%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$332 Vol.

26%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$262 Vol.

26%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$410 Vol.

25%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$482 Vol.

25%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$2,061 Vol.

25%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$815 Vol.

38%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$468 Vol.

24%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$1,483 Vol.

24%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$64 Vol.

22%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$1,659 Vol.

21%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$1,351 Vol.

21%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$1,076 Vol.

20%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$563 Vol.

20%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$811 Vol.

19%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$143 Vol.

19%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$310 Vol.

18%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$203 Vol.

18%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$1,452 Vol.

17%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$542 Vol.

17%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$725 Vol.

16%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$40 Vol.

16%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$783 Vol.

16%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$995 Vol.

15%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$1,265 Vol.

14%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$142 Vol.

12%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$1,221 Vol.

14%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$1,535 Vol.

14%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$20 Vol.

13%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$20 Vol.

13%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$990 Vol.

13%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

13%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

12%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$2,000 Vol.

11%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$0 Vol.

10%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$920 Vol.

10%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$1,961 Vol.

7%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$5 Vol.

6%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$63 Vol.

3%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$99 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major party figures have formally declared 2028 presidential campaigns as of late August 2026, though exploratory activity has intensified ahead of the November midterms. Vice President JD Vance leads early Republican polling and prediction markets as the presumptive frontrunner, while Democrats show a fragmented field with Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez frequently discussed. Sen. Chris Van Hollen publicly stated on August 23 that he is “testing the waters” with visits to Iowa and New Hampshire. The Democratic National Committee is finalizing an early 2028 primary calendar that prioritizes South Carolina and other diverse states. Announcements are widely anticipated after the midterms, with the 22nd Amendment barring former President Trump from a third term creating an unusually open contest on both sides.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,459
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major party figures have formally declared 2028 presidential campaigns as of late August 2026, though exploratory activity has intensified ahead of the November midterms. Vice President JD Vance leads early Republican polling and prediction markets as the presumptive frontrunner, while Democrats show a fragmented field with Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez frequently discussed. Sen. Chris Van Hollen publicly stated on August 23 that he is “testing the waters” with visits to Iowa and New Hampshire. The Democratic National Committee is finalizing an early 2028 primary calendar that prioritizes South Carolina and other diverse states. Announcements are widely anticipated after the midterms, with the 22nd Amendment barring former President Trump from a third term creating an unusually open contest on both sides.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,459
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

13%
icon for Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

16%
icon for Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

15%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 91%, followed by "Pete Buttigieg" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" has generated $46.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is "J.D. Vance" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pete Buttigieg" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.