The absence of any formal 2028 announcements keeps "Other" leading at 50 percent, as Democrats continue positioning without committing ahead of the 2026 midterms and the revised primary calendar that elevates South Carolina. Andy Beshear's 28.5 percent reflects his repeated visits to early states, comments on being open to a bid, and appeal as a two-term governor who won reelection in a Republican-leaning state. Gavin Newsom at 18.9 percent draws from his high national profile, South Carolina tours, and public acknowledgments of interest, though term limits and California-specific perceptions create counterweights. Lower odds for figures like Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and Ro Khanna track their more cautious recent statements and limited early-state activity relative to the governors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAndy Beshear 29%
Gavin Newsom 18.9%
Kamala Harris 13%
Pete Buttigieg 11%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2028
Andy Beshear
29%
Gavin Newsom
19%
Kamala Harris
13%
Pete Buttigieg
11%
Rahm Emanuel
10%
Ro Khanna
10%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Jon Ossoff
2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1%
Jon Stewart
1%
Andy Beshear 29%
Gavin Newsom 18.9%
Kamala Harris 13%
Pete Buttigieg 11%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2028
Andy Beshear
$1,914 Vol.
29%
Gavin Newsom
$3,308 Vol.
19%
Kamala Harris
$550 Vol.
13%
Pete Buttigieg
$622 Vol.
11%
Rahm Emanuel
$656 Vol.
10%
Ro Khanna
$528 Vol.
10%
Stephen A. Smith
$363 Vol.
4%
Josh Shapiro
$306 Vol.
4%
Jon Ossoff
$306 Vol.
2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$391 Vol.
1%
Jon Stewart
$364 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of any formal 2028 announcements keeps "Other" leading at 50 percent, as Democrats continue positioning without committing ahead of the 2026 midterms and the revised primary calendar that elevates South Carolina. Andy Beshear's 28.5 percent reflects his repeated visits to early states, comments on being open to a bid, and appeal as a two-term governor who won reelection in a Republican-leaning state. Gavin Newsom at 18.9 percent draws from his high national profile, South Carolina tours, and public acknowledgments of interest, though term limits and California-specific perceptions create counterweights. Lower odds for figures like Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and Ro Khanna track their more cautious recent statements and limited early-state activity relative to the governors.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
Volume
$9,308End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of any formal 2028 announcements keeps "Other" leading at 50 percent, as Democrats continue positioning without committing ahead of the 2026 midterms and the revised primary calendar that elevates South Carolina. Andy Beshear's 28.5 percent reflects his repeated visits to early states, comments on being open to a bid, and appeal as a two-term governor who won reelection in a Republican-leaning state. Gavin Newsom at 18.9 percent draws from his high national profile, South Carolina tours, and public acknowledgments of interest, though term limits and California-specific perceptions create counterweights. Lower odds for figures like Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and Ro Khanna track their more cautious recent statements and limited early-state activity relative to the governors.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,308End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The absence of any formal 2028 announcements keeps "Other" leading at 50 percent, as Democrats continue positioning without committing ahead of the 2026 midterms and the revised primary calendar that elevates South Carolina. Andy Beshear's 28.5 percent reflects his repeated visits to early states, comments on being open to a bid, and appeal as a two-term governor who won reelection in a Republican-leaning state. Gavin Newsom at 18.9 percent draws from his high national profile, South Carolina tours, and public acknowledgments of interest, though term limits and California-specific perceptions create counterweights. Lower odds for figures like Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and Ro Khanna track their more cautious recent statements and limited early-state activity relative to the governors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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