What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

Winchester Model 1873 45%

Colt Peacemaker 20%

Colt M1911 9%

Winchester Model 1894 6%

NEW

Nov 3, 2026

Winchester Model 1894

$596 Vol.

Winchester Model 1873

$340 Vol.

38%

Colt Peacemaker

$311 Vol.

20%

M1 Garand

$275 Vol.

Colt M1911

$759 Vol.

Remington Model 700

$459 Vol.

Winchester Model 1873 45%

Colt Peacemaker 20%

Colt M1911 9%

Winchester Model 1894 6%

NEW

Nov 3, 2026

Winchester Model 1894

$596 Vol.

Winchester Model 1873

$340 Vol.

38%

Colt Peacemaker

$311 Vol.

20%

M1 Garand

$275 Vol.

Colt M1911

$759 Vol.

Remington Model 700

$459 Vol.

The Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).

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25%

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18%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Winchester Model 1873" at 38%, followed by "Colt Peacemaker" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?" is "Winchester Model 1873" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Colt Peacemaker" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 38¢ for "Winchester Model 1873" in the "What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 38% chance that "Winchester Model 1873" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 38¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 62¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Nov 3, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

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