**Idaho’s conservative political environment and strict existing abortion statutes shape trader views on Proposition 1, the Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act Initiative.** The citizen-initiated measure, which qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting more than 110,000 signatures, would establish a statutory right to reproductive freedom and privacy, permitting abortion up to fetal viability with regulation allowed afterward except in medical emergencies. Idaho maintains one of the nation’s most restrictive bans, limited to cases of rape, incest, or to save the mother’s life. As of late August 2026, the supporting group filed suit against state officials over ballot and voter-pamphlet language describing the effects of “yes” and “no” votes, adding procedural uncertainty ahead of the September 25 printing deadline. These factors, combined with the state’s partisan composition and historical outcomes on social issues, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% probability assigned to “No.”
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated39% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
39% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Idaho Proposition 1 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would create a right to abortion and other reproductive choices in the State of Idaho.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Idaho statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).**Idaho’s conservative political environment and strict existing abortion statutes shape trader views on Proposition 1, the Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act Initiative.** The citizen-initiated measure, which qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting more than 110,000 signatures, would establish a statutory right to reproductive freedom and privacy, permitting abortion up to fetal viability with regulation allowed afterward except in medical emergencies.
Idaho maintains one of the nation’s most restrictive bans, limited to cases of rape, incest, or to save the mother’s life. As of late August 2026, the supporting group filed suit against state officials over ballot and voter-pamphlet language describing the effects of “yes” and “no” votes, adding procedural uncertainty ahead of the September 25 printing deadline. These factors, combined with the state’s partisan composition and historical outcomes on social issues, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% probability assigned to “No.”
Idaho Proposition 1 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would create a right to abortion and other reproductive choices in the State of Idaho.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Idaho statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Idaho statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Volume
$6,978End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Idaho Proposition 1 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would create a right to abortion and other reproductive choices in the State of Idaho.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Idaho statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).**Idaho’s conservative political environment and strict existing abortion statutes shape trader views on Proposition 1, the Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act Initiative.** The citizen-initiated measure, which qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting more than 110,000 signatures, would establish a statutory right to reproductive freedom and privacy, permitting abortion up to fetal viability with regulation allowed afterward except in medical emergencies.
Idaho maintains one of the nation’s most restrictive bans, limited to cases of rape, incest, or to save the mother’s life. As of late August 2026, the supporting group filed suit against state officials over ballot and voter-pamphlet language describing the effects of “yes” and “no” votes, adding procedural uncertainty ahead of the September 25 printing deadline. These factors, combined with the state’s partisan composition and historical outcomes on social issues, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% probability assigned to “No.”
Idaho Proposition 1 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would create a right to abortion and other reproductive choices in the State of Idaho.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Idaho statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Idaho statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
Volume
$6,978End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Idaho’s conservative political environment and strict existing abortion statutes shape trader views on Proposition 1, the Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act Initiative.** The citizen-initiated measure, which qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting more than 110,000 signatures, would establish a statutory right to reproductive freedom and privacy, permitting abortion up to fetal viability with regulation allowed afterward except in medical emergencies. Idaho maintains one of the nation’s most restrictive bans, limited to cases of rape, incest, or to save the mother’s life. As of late August 2026, the supporting group filed suit against state officials over ballot and voter-pamphlet language describing the effects of “yes” and “no” votes, adding procedural uncertainty ahead of the September 25 printing deadline. These factors, combined with the state’s partisan composition and historical outcomes on social issues, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% probability assigned to “No.”
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions