**Recent political friction in Ukraine centers on President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's July 2026 dismissal of reformist Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, which sparked rare wartime protests, followed by Fedorov's August 18-19 public call for elections amid corruption allegations.** Anti-corruption agencies (NABU/SAP) conducted high-profile raids on August 19 targeting presidential office figures, including deputy head Iryna Mudra (subsequently fired), linked to alleged money laundering tied to prior cases. Parliament approved a new defense minister, Yevhenii Khmara, while Zelenskyy navigated internal challenges without military or security force involvement in any coordinated overthrow effort. Martial law remains in effect, barring elections and limiting organized political challenges. These developments highlight governance strains and elite tensions but reflect contained institutional responses rather than coup dynamics, consistent with trader assessments of low near-term risk through year-end absent major escalations in military defections or elite fractures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$169,337 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
2%
$169,337 Vol.
December 31
$151,501 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent political friction in Ukraine centers on President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's July 2026 dismissal of reformist Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, which sparked rare wartime protests, followed by Fedorov's August 18-19 public call for elections amid corruption allegations.** Anti-corruption agencies (NABU/SAP) conducted high-profile raids on August 19 targeting presidential office figures, including deputy head Iryna Mudra (subsequently fired), linked to alleged money laundering tied to prior cases. Parliament approved a new defense minister, Yevhenii Khmara, while Zelenskyy navigated internal challenges without military or security force involvement in any coordinated overthrow effort. Martial law remains in effect, barring elections and limiting organized political challenges. These developments highlight governance strains and elite tensions but reflect contained institutional responses rather than coup dynamics, consistent with trader assessments of low near-term risk through year-end absent major escalations in military defections or elite fractures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$169,337End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent political friction in Ukraine centers on President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's July 2026 dismissal of reformist Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, which sparked rare wartime protests, followed by Fedorov's August 18-19 public call for elections amid corruption allegations.** Anti-corruption agencies (NABU/SAP) conducted high-profile raids on August 19 targeting presidential office figures, including deputy head Iryna Mudra (subsequently fired), linked to alleged money laundering tied to prior cases. Parliament approved a new defense minister, Yevhenii Khmara, while Zelenskyy navigated internal challenges without military or security force involvement in any coordinated overthrow effort. Martial law remains in effect, barring elections and limiting organized political challenges. These developments highlight governance strains and elite tensions but reflect contained institutional responses rather than coup dynamics, consistent with trader assessments of low near-term risk through year-end absent major escalations in military defections or elite fractures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,337End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent political friction in Ukraine centers on President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's July 2026 dismissal of reformist Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, which sparked rare wartime protests, followed by Fedorov's August 18-19 public call for elections amid corruption allegations.** Anti-corruption agencies (NABU/SAP) conducted high-profile raids on August 19 targeting presidential office figures, including deputy head Iryna Mudra (subsequently fired), linked to alleged money laundering tied to prior cases. Parliament approved a new defense minister, Yevhenii Khmara, while Zelenskyy navigated internal challenges without military or security force involvement in any coordinated overthrow effort. Martial law remains in effect, barring elections and limiting organized political challenges. These developments highlight governance strains and elite tensions but reflect contained institutional responses rather than coup dynamics, consistent with trader assessments of low near-term risk through year-end absent major escalations in military defections or elite fractures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions