**Trader sentiment favoring "Under" at 65.5% implied probability stems primarily from typical late-summer softening in raw Pokémon TCG prices combined with a post-hype correction for the specific Mega Evolution Promos Squirtle (#039).** After earlier 2026 spikes tied to Pokémon 151 set reprints and collector enthusiasm, ungraded values on Collectr have already retreated into the $30–$45 range for similar variants, with broader TCG market volatility adding downward pressure. Historical patterns show promo cards often dip in August ahead of fall releases and renewed buying cycles. With resolution just days away on August 31, traders see limited upside catalysts and expect the price to settle below the $28.23 threshold, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on seasonal and cyclical dynamics in the collectibles space.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSquirtle Price Over/Under $28.23 on August 31?
Over
Over
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Squirtle (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 039) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $28.23.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Squirtle (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 039) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $28.23.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Squirtle (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 039) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $28.23.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Squirtle (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 039) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $28.23.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader sentiment favoring "Under" at 65.5% implied probability stems primarily from typical late-summer softening in raw Pokémon TCG prices combined with a post-hype correction for the specific Mega Evolution Promos Squirtle (#039).** After earlier 2026 spikes tied to Pokémon 151 set reprints and collector enthusiasm, ungraded values on Collectr have already retreated into the $30–$45 range for similar variants, with broader TCG market volatility adding downward pressure. Historical patterns show promo cards often dip in August ahead of fall releases and renewed buying cycles. With resolution just days away on August 31, traders see limited upside catalysts and expect the price to settle below the $28.23 threshold, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on seasonal and cyclical dynamics in the collectibles space.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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