Morena maintains a clear lead in recent Sonora polling for the 2027 gubernatorial race, with party identification near 45-50 percent amid a fragmented opposition. This positions Morena aspirants such as Lorenia Valles Sampedro, Javier Lamarque Cano, and Célida Teresa López Cárdenas as frontrunners in internal surveys, though no formal candidate selection has occurred. PAN contender Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez and Movimiento Ciudadano's Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas register notable support in head-to-head scenarios, while PRI figures including Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez and Ernesto Gándara Camou trail. The tight spread among listed probabilities reflects ongoing party coordination processes, undecided voter blocs, and the absence of finalized ballots or major campaign events in the past month. Scheduled internal votes and potential alliances could shift positioning before the election.