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icon for Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place

Delegado André David 51%

André Moura 23.6%

Rogerio Carvalho 7.8%

Iran Barbosa 4.7%

Polymarket

$10,151 Vol.

Delegado André David 51%

André Moura 23.6%

Rogerio Carvalho 7.8%

Iran Barbosa 4.7%

Polymarket

$10,151 Vol.

icon for Delegado André David

Delegado André David

$7,364 Vol.

51%

icon for André Moura

André Moura

$2,268 Vol.

24%

icon for Rogerio Carvalho

Rogerio Carvalho

$190 Vol.

11%

icon for Iran Barbosa

Iran Barbosa

$31 Vol.

5%

icon for Eduardo Amorim

Eduardo Amorim

$71 Vol.

4%

icon for Edvaldo

Edvaldo

$31 Vol.

4%

icon for Coronel Rocha

Coronel Rocha

$31 Vol.

4%

icon for Delegado Alessandro

Delegado Alessandro

$31 Vol.

4%

icon for Renatinha

Renatinha

$71 Vol.

3%

icon for Rodrigo Valadares

Rodrigo Valadares

$31 Vol.

3%

icon for Paulinho da União Tur

Paulinho da União Tur

$31 Vol.

2%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent mid-August polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data shows Delegado André David (Republicanos) holding a narrow lead in first-round Senate voting intentions in Sergipe at around 17%, with André Moura (União Brasil) and Eduardo Amorim close behind amid a crowded field exceeding two dozen candidates. High shares of undecided voters and blank or null ballots compress the race, anchoring trader consensus near 50% for David while sustaining comparable pricing for several others. The dual-seat structure and fragmented support across parties like PT, MDB, and PDT limit clear separation, with momentum hinging on upcoming campaign developments or additional surveys before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,151
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent mid-August polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data shows Delegado André David (Republicanos) holding a narrow lead in first-round Senate voting intentions in Sergipe at around 17%, with André Moura (União Brasil) and Eduardo Amorim close behind amid a crowded field exceeding two dozen candidates. High shares of undecided voters and blank or null ballots compress the race, anchoring trader consensus near 50% for David while sustaining comparable pricing for several others. The dual-seat structure and fragmented support across parties like PT, MDB, and PDT limit clear separation, with momentum hinging on upcoming campaign developments or additional surveys before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,151
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Delegado André David" at 51%, followed by "André Moura" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" has generated $10.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Delegado André David" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "André Moura" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.