The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House multiple times, including April 2025 and February 2026, and has been repeatedly attached to must-pass measures such as the NDAA and appropriations bills. Senate consideration has stalled despite Republican majority control, as the legislation requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster and has drawn opposition from at least four GOP senators alongside unified Democratic resistance. Reconciliation attempts and floor amendments in 2026, including efforts tied to the budget resolution, have likewise failed to advance the core provisions. With limited legislative days remaining in the 119th Congress and no evident path to the votes or procedural changes needed for enactment, traders assign a 94.5% probability against signing into law this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6% chance
$190,663 Vol.
$190,663 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
6% chance
$190,663 Vol.
$190,663 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House multiple times, including April 2025 and February 2026, and has been repeatedly attached to must-pass measures such as the NDAA and appropriations bills. Senate consideration has stalled despite Republican majority control, as the legislation requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster and has drawn opposition from at least four GOP senators alongside unified Democratic resistance. Reconciliation attempts and floor amendments in 2026, including efforts tied to the budget resolution, have likewise failed to advance the core provisions. With limited legislative days remaining in the 119th Congress and no evident path to the votes or procedural changes needed for enactment, traders assign a 94.5% probability against signing into law this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$190,663End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House multiple times, including April 2025 and February 2026, and has been repeatedly attached to must-pass measures such as the NDAA and appropriations bills. Senate consideration has stalled despite Republican majority control, as the legislation requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster and has drawn opposition from at least four GOP senators alongside unified Democratic resistance. Reconciliation attempts and floor amendments in 2026, including efforts tied to the budget resolution, have likewise failed to advance the core provisions. With limited legislative days remaining in the 119th Congress and no evident path to the votes or procedural changes needed for enactment, traders assign a 94.5% probability against signing into law this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$190,663End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House multiple times, including April 2025 and February 2026, and has been repeatedly attached to must-pass measures such as the NDAA and appropriations bills. Senate consideration has stalled despite Republican majority control, as the legislation requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster and has drawn opposition from at least four GOP senators alongside unified Democratic resistance. Reconciliation attempts and floor amendments in 2026, including efforts tied to the budget resolution, have likewise failed to advance the core provisions. With limited legislative days remaining in the 119th Congress and no evident path to the votes or procedural changes needed for enactment, traders assign a 94.5% probability against signing into law this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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