Russia maintains firm demands for territorial control over the full Donbas region and other annexed areas as prerequisites for any settlement, while rejecting temporary ceasefires that would allow Ukrainian rearmament. Recent statements from Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov and President Vladimir Putin in August 2026 signal openness to new proposals aligned with "realities on the ground" and Putin's objectives, following stalled US-mediated trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in the year. Those sessions ended without agreement on territory or security guarantees. US envoys have pursued shuttle diplomacy under the Trump administration, though efforts were interrupted by other priorities, leaving gaps between Moscow's maximalist positions and Kyiv's calls for a full halt to fighting plus credible assurances against future aggression.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$384,530 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
11%
December 31
51%
$384,530 Vol.
September 30
$186,270 Vol.
11%
December 31
$179,548 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Russia maintains firm demands for territorial control over the full Donbas region and other annexed areas as prerequisites for any settlement, while rejecting temporary ceasefires that would allow Ukrainian rearmament. Recent statements from Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov and President Vladimir Putin in August 2026 signal openness to new proposals aligned with "realities on the ground" and Putin's objectives, following stalled US-mediated trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in the year. Those sessions ended without agreement on territory or security guarantees. US envoys have pursued shuttle diplomacy under the Trump administration, though efforts were interrupted by other priorities, leaving gaps between Moscow's maximalist positions and Kyiv's calls for a full halt to fighting plus credible assurances against future aggression.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$384,530End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Russia maintains firm demands for territorial control over the full Donbas region and other annexed areas as prerequisites for any settlement, while rejecting temporary ceasefires that would allow Ukrainian rearmament. Recent statements from Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov and President Vladimir Putin in August 2026 signal openness to new proposals aligned with "realities on the ground" and Putin's objectives, following stalled US-mediated trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in the year. Those sessions ended without agreement on territory or security guarantees. US envoys have pursued shuttle diplomacy under the Trump administration, though efforts were interrupted by other priorities, leaving gaps between Moscow's maximalist positions and Kyiv's calls for a full halt to fighting plus credible assurances against future aggression.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$384,530End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia maintains firm demands for territorial control over the full Donbas region and other annexed areas as prerequisites for any settlement, while rejecting temporary ceasefires that would allow Ukrainian rearmament. Recent statements from Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov and President Vladimir Putin in August 2026 signal openness to new proposals aligned with "realities on the ground" and Putin's objectives, following stalled US-mediated trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in the year. Those sessions ended without agreement on territory or security guarantees. US envoys have pursued shuttle diplomacy under the Trump administration, though efforts were interrupted by other priorities, leaving gaps between Moscow's maximalist positions and Kyiv's calls for a full halt to fighting plus credible assurances against future aggression.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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