The New England Patriots enter 2026 as the clear favorite to win the season series against the Miami Dolphins, reflecting trader consensus around their 67.5% implied probability. Fresh off a 14-3 campaign and Super Bowl appearance under Mike Vrabel, New England added A.J. Brown and bolstered the offensive line to support QB Drake Maye, while facing a tougher schedule overall. Miami, meanwhile, is in full rebuild mode after firing Mike McDaniel for Jeff Hafley, losing Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, and Jaylen Waddle, and installing Malik Willis at quarterback amid defensive vulnerabilities and a projected bottom-tier record. With the teams meeting twice in the AFC East, the Patriots' superior roster depth, continuity, and recent head-to-head dominance position them to claim the series in most scenarios, leaving room mainly for a split or rare Dolphins upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPatriots 67%
Tie 21%
Dolphins 2.0%
Dolphins
8%
Patriots
67%
Tie
21%
Patriots 67%
Tie 21%
Dolphins 2.0%
Dolphins
8%
Patriots
67%
Tie
21%
If the Miami Dolphins win the season series, this market will resolve to “Dolphins”. If the New England Patriots win the season series, this market will resolve to “Patriots”. If the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots tie the season series, this market will resolve to “tie”.
If any scheduled game between the listed teams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, not completed, or otherwise does not produce an official result — including due to a shortened, truncated, or early-ended season — the season series will be determined solely using official results of completed games. If the season is cancelled, no games between the teams are completed, or the result of the season series cannot otherwise be confirmed by January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 1:43 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the Miami Dolphins win the season series, this market will resolve to “Dolphins”. If the New England Patriots win the season series, this market will resolve to “Patriots”. If the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots tie the season series, this market will resolve to “tie”.
If any scheduled game between the listed teams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, not completed, or otherwise does not produce an official result — including due to a shortened, truncated, or early-ended season — the season series will be determined solely using official results of completed games. If the season is cancelled, no games between the teams are completed, or the result of the season series cannot otherwise be confirmed by January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The New England Patriots enter 2026 as the clear favorite to win the season series against the Miami Dolphins, reflecting trader consensus around their 67.5% implied probability. Fresh off a 14-3 campaign and Super Bowl appearance under Mike Vrabel, New England added A.J. Brown and bolstered the offensive line to support QB Drake Maye, while facing a tougher schedule overall. Miami, meanwhile, is in full rebuild mode after firing Mike McDaniel for Jeff Hafley, losing Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, and Jaylen Waddle, and installing Malik Willis at quarterback amid defensive vulnerabilities and a projected bottom-tier record. With the teams meeting twice in the AFC East, the Patriots' superior roster depth, continuity, and recent head-to-head dominance position them to claim the series in most scenarios, leaving room mainly for a split or rare Dolphins upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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