Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under police investigation following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his prior role as UK trade envoy and Epstein-related disclosures, but he has not been charged, let alone tried or convicted. Crown Prosecution Service review, evidentiary thresholds, and the rarity of successful prosecutions for this common-law offense—particularly against senior figures—sustain the overwhelming trader consensus against any prison sentence. Historical patterns show extended timelines from arrest through any potential conviction, with many inquiries concluding without charges. Late-stage developments such as new evidence prompting formal charges, a successful prosecution, or appeals altering outcomes represent the narrow paths that could still shift the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2% chance
$221,715 Vol.
$221,715 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
2% chance
$221,715 Vol.
$221,715 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under police investigation following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his prior role as UK trade envoy and Epstein-related disclosures, but he has not been charged, let alone tried or convicted. Crown Prosecution Service review, evidentiary thresholds, and the rarity of successful prosecutions for this common-law offense—particularly against senior figures—sustain the overwhelming trader consensus against any prison sentence. Historical patterns show extended timelines from arrest through any potential conviction, with many inquiries concluding without charges. Late-stage developments such as new evidence prompting formal charges, a successful prosecution, or appeals altering outcomes represent the narrow paths that could still shift the result.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$221,715End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under police investigation following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his prior role as UK trade envoy and Epstein-related disclosures, but he has not been charged, let alone tried or convicted. Crown Prosecution Service review, evidentiary thresholds, and the rarity of successful prosecutions for this common-law offense—particularly against senior figures—sustain the overwhelming trader consensus against any prison sentence. Historical patterns show extended timelines from arrest through any potential conviction, with many inquiries concluding without charges. Late-stage developments such as new evidence prompting formal charges, a successful prosecution, or appeals altering outcomes represent the narrow paths that could still shift the result.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$221,715End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under police investigation following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his prior role as UK trade envoy and Epstein-related disclosures, but he has not been charged, let alone tried or convicted. Crown Prosecution Service review, evidentiary thresholds, and the rarity of successful prosecutions for this common-law offense—particularly against senior figures—sustain the overwhelming trader consensus against any prison sentence. Historical patterns show extended timelines from arrest through any potential conviction, with many inquiries concluding without charges. Late-stage developments such as new evidence prompting formal charges, a successful prosecution, or appeals altering outcomes represent the narrow paths that could still shift the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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