Skip to main content
icon for Piura Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Piura Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Piura Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Piura Mayoral Election Winner

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 31%

Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán 16.9%

Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño 12%

Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios 10.8%

Polymarket

$14,185 Vol.

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 31%

Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán 16.9%

Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño 12%

Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios 10.8%

Polymarket

$14,185 Vol.

icon for Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi

$6,465 Vol.

31%

icon for Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán

Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán

$5,035 Vol.

17%

icon for Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño

Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño

$375 Vol.

12%

icon for Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios

Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios

$279 Vol.

11%

icon for John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin

John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin

$234 Vol.

10%

icon for Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot

Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot

$175 Vol.

6%

icon for Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia

Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia

$175 Vol.

5%

icon for Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena

Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena

$178 Vol.

5%

icon for Walther Guerrero Silva

Walther Guerrero Silva

$211 Vol.

5%

icon for Guillermo Chávez Timoteo

Guillermo Chávez Timoteo

$176 Vol.

4%

icon for José Luis Morey Requejo

José Luis Morey Requejo

$175 Vol.

4%

icon for Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví

Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví

$189 Vol.

3%

icon for Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios

Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios

$165 Vol.

2%

icon for Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado

Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado

$189 Vol.

2%

icon for Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde

Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde

$166 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The Piura provincial mayoral race on October 4, 2026, features a highly fragmented field of more than two dozen candidates, which has kept trader odds tightly bunched and prevented any frontrunner from consolidating support. Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi of Somos Perú holds the clearest edge at roughly 30-31% implied probability, drawing on prior local government experience and early informal polling from late 2025, while Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán of Alianza para el Progreso trails at around 15-17%. The remaining contenders split the balance, reflecting Peru’s typical pattern of weak party structures and multiple viable local profiles. This dispersion sustains uncertainty ahead of the vote, with any late consolidation, debate performance, or alliance signals likely to shift probabilities more than steady campaign activity.

The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$14,185
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The Piura provincial mayoral race on October 4, 2026, features a highly fragmented field of more than two dozen candidates, which has kept trader odds tightly bunched and prevented any frontrunner from consolidating support. Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi of Somos Perú holds the clearest edge at roughly 30-31% implied probability, drawing on prior local government experience and early informal polling from late 2025, while Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán of Alianza para el Progreso trails at around 15-17%. The remaining contenders split the balance, reflecting Peru’s typical pattern of weak party structures and multiple viable local profiles. This dispersion sustains uncertainty ahead of the vote, with any late consolidation, debate performance, or alliance signals likely to shift probabilities more than steady campaign activity.

The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$14,185
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Related

icon for Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?

Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?

39%
icon for Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?

Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?

31%
icon for Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?

Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?

40%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Piura Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi" at 31%, followed by "Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Piura Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $14.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Piura Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Piura Mayoral Election Winner" is "Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Piura Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.