Skip to main content
icon for Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Politics·Nigerian Governor Election

Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

icon for Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Politics·Nigerian Governor Election

Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Solomon Olamilekan Adeola 87%

Bolaji Odusina 5%

Biodun Ogundipe 3.3%

Rotimi Babajide 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Solomon Olamilekan Adeola 87%

Bolaji Odusina 5%

Biodun Ogundipe 3.3%

Rotimi Babajide 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Solomon Olamilekan Adeola

Solomon Olamilekan Adeola

$1,289 Vol.

87%

icon for Bolaji Odusina

Bolaji Odusina

$127 Vol.

5%

icon for Biodun Ogundipe

Biodun Ogundipe

$551 Vol.

3%

icon for Rotimi Babajide

Rotimi Babajide

$132 Vol.

3%

icon for Adekunle Adenuga

Adekunle Adenuga

$127 Vol.

1%

icon for Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi

Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi

$127 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oladipupo Adebutu

Oladipupo Adebutu

$78 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi), the All Progressives Congress candidate from Ogun West Senatorial District, holds an 86.5% implied probability as the frontrunner.** He secured the APC nomination in May 2026 through a consensus process and direct primary, polling 304,055 votes against a single opponent who received zero across all 20 local government areas. Governor Dapo Abiodun, former governors including Olusegun Osoba and Ibikunle Amosun, and national party figures backed his emergence to promote zonal equity after Ogun West produced no governor since the state's creation. The party submitted his name and running mate to INEC, with reaffirmation in late August 2026 despite a court challenge by aspirant Abayomi Hunye. This party unity, incumbency advantage, and broad stakeholder alignment position Adeola well ahead of other aspirants in the 2027 contest, though legal proceedings remain pending.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$2,431
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi), the All Progressives Congress candidate from Ogun West Senatorial District, holds an 86.5% implied probability as the frontrunner.** He secured the APC nomination in May 2026 through a consensus process and direct primary, polling 304,055 votes against a single opponent who received zero across all 20 local government areas. Governor Dapo Abiodun, former governors including Olusegun Osoba and Ibikunle Amosun, and national party figures backed his emergence to promote zonal equity after Ogun West produced no governor since the state's creation. The party submitted his name and running mate to INEC, with reaffirmation in late August 2026 despite a court challenge by aspirant Abayomi Hunye. This party unity, incumbency advantage, and broad stakeholder alignment position Adeola well ahead of other aspirants in the 2027 contest, though legal proceedings remain pending.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$2,431
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

Related

icon for Will Abimbola Adekanmbi win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?

Will Abimbola Adekanmbi win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?

56%
icon for Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?

Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?

60%
icon for Will Obafemi Hamzat win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?

Will Obafemi Hamzat win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?

87%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Solomon Olamilekan Adeola" at 87%, followed by "Bolaji Odusina" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is "Solomon Olamilekan Adeola" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bolaji Odusina" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.