NY-10 encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn with a strong partisan lean that has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination by defeating incumbent Daniel Goldman in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, aided by endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving Jennifer Moore as the nominee in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader pricing reflects the absence of credible Republican competition and the structural advantages for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November general election. A Democratic hold could face disruption only from major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or a historically unusual national swing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-10 House Election Winner
NY-10 House Election Winner
$53,820 Vol.
$53,820 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$53,820 Vol.
$53,820 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,728 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$37,092 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-10 encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn with a strong partisan lean that has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination by defeating incumbent Daniel Goldman in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, aided by endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving Jennifer Moore as the nominee in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader pricing reflects the absence of credible Republican competition and the structural advantages for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November general election. A Democratic hold could face disruption only from major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or a historically unusual national swing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$53,820End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-10 encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn with a strong partisan lean that has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination by defeating incumbent Daniel Goldman in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, aided by endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving Jennifer Moore as the nominee in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader pricing reflects the absence of credible Republican competition and the structural advantages for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November general election. A Democratic hold could face disruption only from major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or a historically unusual national swing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,820End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-10 encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn with a strong partisan lean that has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination by defeating incumbent Daniel Goldman in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, aided by endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving Jennifer Moore as the nominee in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader pricing reflects the absence of credible Republican competition and the structural advantages for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November general election. A Democratic hold could face disruption only from major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or a historically unusual national swing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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