Microsoft shares have rallied sharply in late August 2026, closing at $513.53 on August 28 after a 1.68% gain and six consecutive advances that lifted the stock 7.6% over the period. This momentum follows the July 29 fiscal Q4 earnings beat, with revenue growth accelerating to 18% fueled by Azure and AI services. The stock trades well below its October 2025 peak of $542 but remains supported by a consensus analyst price target near $560–$569. With no major catalysts until the October earnings release and September quarter results still to come, near-term price action will hinge on sustained AI demand, broader tech sector flows, and any shifts in macroeconomic data affecting rate expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$420
50%
$435
50%
$450
50%
$465
50%
$480
50%
$495
50%
$510
50%
$525
50%
$540
50%
$555
50%
$570
50%
$585
50%
$600
50%
$0.00 Vol.
$420
50%
$435
50%
$450
50%
$465
50%
$480
50%
$495
50%
$510
50%
$525
50%
$540
50%
$555
50%
$570
50%
$585
50%
$600
50%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft shares have rallied sharply in late August 2026, closing at $513.53 on August 28 after a 1.68% gain and six consecutive advances that lifted the stock 7.6% over the period. This momentum follows the July 29 fiscal Q4 earnings beat, with revenue growth accelerating to 18% fueled by Azure and AI services. The stock trades well below its October 2025 peak of $542 but remains supported by a consensus analyst price target near $560–$569. With no major catalysts until the October earnings release and September quarter results still to come, near-term price action will hinge on sustained AI demand, broader tech sector flows, and any shifts in macroeconomic data affecting rate expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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